Posted:
#1
2010-2011 NBA Record:
145 - 98 @ 60% for +37.2 Units
Mon, 04/11
UNDER 188.5 MEM/POR
Big game between these 2 teams in this one. I do expect Lakers to win their next 2 games and clinch the #2 seed in the West, and I expect Memphis and Portland to play under a similar assumption in this one. 6th spot is on the line here and a chance to avoid LA (most likely) in the first round. Either way, expect a playoff atmosphere in this one.
Both teams are on UNDER streaks coming into this one and the UNDER is 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings in Portland between these 2 squads. Portland plays at the slowest PACE in the league (#30) while Memphis is at #15. I expect the Blazers to control the pace of hte game on their own home-court tonight. In addition, both these defenses rank #1 and #2 in TOV%. More turnovers, means less shot-attempts. In addition, neither one gets to the line much. Memphis is holding opponents to 87 ppg in their last 5, while Blazers are allowing 93 ppg int he same time span. I expect a slow, methodical pace in this one tonight.
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2 team parlay: Lakers ML (-300) / Cardinals +2.5 (-445)
Laying about 1.6 Units to win 1 Unit.
I have a play on St Louis and the write-up is included with it.
The line move in the Lakers game is all I needed to include them in this parlay. I know LA is on a 5-game losing streak, but did any other game on this streak involve a move like that? In addition, at -5.5 Lakers were way OVER-valued (s/b -3 at home). For the line to move from -5.5 to -7, some very SERIOUS money had to come in on an already 'TERRIBLE' line. This tells me that Spurs are going to rest their starters and not really take this one serious. Spurs are similar to the Celtics in the fact that they don't give as much thought to HC way down the road like NBA Finals. They have HC in the West, and that's all they really should worry about. Getting to the Finals will be a monstrous accomplishment for this team, and it all starts with proper rest for their best players going into the playoffs. Lakers, have been taking games off, but now their 'backs are truly against the wall'. I don't think they want to lose this #2 seed to either Dallas, or even worse, Thunder. (I think Okie City would beat Lakers in a 7 game series if they had HC). I expect them to play really well today. After the Lakers win today, they can concede the #2 seed to Dallas tomorrow if they want, but at least Thunder won't get it. (If I was Dallas and Lakers win today, I would lose my game tomorrow, and give up the #3 seed to Okie City..Sure they'd have to get past Denver in round 2, but round 2 matchup with the Spurs would be a lot easier...hmmm). Either way, I really don't see the Lakers losing tonight. (Nor the Cardinals by 3+ runs)
Good luck fellas!
145 - 98 @ 60% for +37.2 Units
Mon, 04/11
UNDER 188.5 MEM/POR
Big game between these 2 teams in this one. I do expect Lakers to win their next 2 games and clinch the #2 seed in the West, and I expect Memphis and Portland to play under a similar assumption in this one. 6th spot is on the line here and a chance to avoid LA (most likely) in the first round. Either way, expect a playoff atmosphere in this one.
Both teams are on UNDER streaks coming into this one and the UNDER is 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings in Portland between these 2 squads. Portland plays at the slowest PACE in the league (#30) while Memphis is at #15. I expect the Blazers to control the pace of hte game on their own home-court tonight. In addition, both these defenses rank #1 and #2 in TOV%. More turnovers, means less shot-attempts. In addition, neither one gets to the line much. Memphis is holding opponents to 87 ppg in their last 5, while Blazers are allowing 93 ppg int he same time span. I expect a slow, methodical pace in this one tonight.
=====================================================================================
2 team parlay: Lakers ML (-300) / Cardinals +2.5 (-445)
Laying about 1.6 Units to win 1 Unit.
I have a play on St Louis and the write-up is included with it.
The line move in the Lakers game is all I needed to include them in this parlay. I know LA is on a 5-game losing streak, but did any other game on this streak involve a move like that? In addition, at -5.5 Lakers were way OVER-valued (s/b -3 at home). For the line to move from -5.5 to -7, some very SERIOUS money had to come in on an already 'TERRIBLE' line. This tells me that Spurs are going to rest their starters and not really take this one serious. Spurs are similar to the Celtics in the fact that they don't give as much thought to HC way down the road like NBA Finals. They have HC in the West, and that's all they really should worry about. Getting to the Finals will be a monstrous accomplishment for this team, and it all starts with proper rest for their best players going into the playoffs. Lakers, have been taking games off, but now their 'backs are truly against the wall'. I don't think they want to lose this #2 seed to either Dallas, or even worse, Thunder. (I think Okie City would beat Lakers in a 7 game series if they had HC). I expect them to play really well today. After the Lakers win today, they can concede the #2 seed to Dallas tomorrow if they want, but at least Thunder won't get it. (If I was Dallas and Lakers win today, I would lose my game tomorrow, and give up the #3 seed to Okie City..Sure they'd have to get past Denver in round 2, but round 2 matchup with the Spurs would be a lot easier...hmmm). Either way, I really don't see the Lakers losing tonight. (Nor the Cardinals by 3+ runs)
Good luck fellas!
_________________
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
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'TOTAL: 200-136 @ 60% for +$52,330
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."
0
I like Under today. 
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