To all who post , view , and contribute on this forum
best of luck for this upcoming season ...
I stayed away from HOF game and yesterday I dove in
with a package bet taking all dogs and all unders...
With my lines that got me a 7-3 .
I am not going to post 10 picks and not going to take credit for unposted picks either .
My strongest pick would have been Kansas City even coming in with an 0-8 SU & ATS record , it was clear by Herm Edwards statement that the emphasis would be there this year to win in the preseason given the terrible start from last year ...
It took a final drive after squandering the lead , but KC got its victory nevertheless .
because trends are only part of the picture , though I use them extensively during preseason.
Week 1preseason trends show a bias towards the Underdog and also towards the Under .
Underdogs have a solid 90-67 overall mark (57%) in week one( from 2 min warning )
Also from same location ...we have the following applicable trends
I used to some degree last year for a succesful preseason campaign...
Home underdogs are 77-49 (61%)
Home teams off less than 10 win years as favorites against prior year Good teams are just 32-54 (37%)
Home underdogs versus a "non prior year Good team" are 38-20 (66%)
In Week one, POOR prior season teams are 11-20 against the spread at home against POOR or AVERAGE away teams
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Welcoming the new 2008-2009 NFL season
2008 preseason record : 0-0
To all who post , view , and contribute on this forum
best of luck for this upcoming season ...
I stayed away from HOF game and yesterday I dove in
with a package bet taking all dogs and all unders...
With my lines that got me a 7-3 .
I am not going to post 10 picks and not going to take credit for unposted picks either .
My strongest pick would have been Kansas City even coming in with an 0-8 SU & ATS record , it was clear by Herm Edwards statement that the emphasis would be there this year to win in the preseason given the terrible start from last year ...
It took a final drive after squandering the lead , but KC got its victory nevertheless .
Nice work Roberto.......It's great to see all the great cappers back this season...I am looking forward to a great year for all of.......Looking forward to viewing your research as well........
Maybe you can hit that hot streak again.....GL BRO
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Nice work Roberto.......It's great to see all the great cappers back this season...I am looking forward to a great year for all of.......Looking forward to viewing your research as well........
Maybe you can hit that hot streak again.....GL BRO
The Under has gone 8-1 over past 2 years for the Steelers and did not give up more than 16 points in all 5 games ...though ironically it was against Philadelphia where the game went over ...Philadelphia did go over 3 out of 4 last year , but went 4 out of five to the Under prior year ..
Over all when the line is 33.5 coming in to this preseason we have 6-10 to the Under and 1-5 more recntly
Woth making a play on the Under for 1 unit
so it is :
Pitt- Phil UNDER 33.5 ( 1 unit )
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Thanks ...
Now regarding the Philadelphia- pittsburgh game >>
The Under has gone 8-1 over past 2 years for the Steelers and did not give up more than 16 points in all 5 games ...though ironically it was against Philadelphia where the game went over ...Philadelphia did go over 3 out of 4 last year , but went 4 out of five to the Under prior year ..
Over all when the line is 33.5 coming in to this preseason we have 6-10 to the Under and 1-5 more recntly
lots of expectations that the new offense of Mike Martz will result in tons of passing by the battling quarterbacks and result in more points .
I see more of a conservatice approach to minimize mistakes and turnovers as these will be more telling of who gets to be the 49ers starting QB in the regular season .
Does anyone really think it will be none other than Alex Smith in the end ?
As for Oakland , I expect a good dose of running all day ...and
the defenses rule the day .
SF - Oak Under 34 ( 1 unit )
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on the SF-Oak game ...
lots of expectations that the new offense of Mike Martz will result in tons of passing by the battling quarterbacks and result in more points .
I see more of a conservatice approach to minimize mistakes and turnovers as these will be more telling of who gets to be the 49ers starting QB in the regular season .
Does anyone really think it will be none other than Alex Smith in the end ?
As for Oakland , I expect a good dose of running all day ...and
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