The Men’s Ice Hockey Qualification Play-Off begins Tuesday, February 17, and my top Sweden vs. Latvia predictions and free betting picks have you covered for the nightcap between the two nations.
Sweden vs Latvia prediction
Sweden vs Latvia Best bet: Under 6.5 (-125)
The Latvians have only scored seven times through three games, and have the personnel to play a defensive brand of hockey to stay competitive against the superior Swedes
Both teams also have experienced NHL goaltenders on the roster, and Sweden hasn’t been overly efficient with an 11th-ranked 7.5 team shooting percentage, so I think Latvia can hang around to do its part to keep this total Under the number.
Additionally, Sweden has been reasonably stingy with just eight goals allowed, and I think there is a statistical correction ahead of its eighth-ranked .885 team save percentage.
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Sweden vs Latvia same-game parlay
Latvia +3.5
Under 6.5
I’m expecting the Latvians to sacrifice offense for sound defensive play in an attempt to keep this a low-scoring game. Sweden hasn’t been running over opponents, either, so Latvia being handed a three-goal spot is cushy.
Sweden vs Latvia SGP
- Latvia +3.5
- Under 6.5
Sweden vs Latvia odds
- Moneyline: Sweden -1100 | Latvia +625
- Puck Line: Sweden -3.5 (+125) | Latvia +3.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-125)
How to watch Sweden vs Latvia
| Location | Milano Rho Ice Hockey Arena, Milan, Italy |
| Date | Tuesday, February 17, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 3:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBC, NBC |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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