The 2026 Winter Olympic Games in Milan, Italy, are officially underway, and one of the most exciting events begins on Wednesday, February 11. Sweden and Italy are set to meet in Men's Hockey, with the host nation entering as a massive underdog.
My Sweden vs. Italy predictions and free betting picks suggest that the Italian roster, which includes eight Canadian-born players and two Americans, will be no match for a Sweden squad loaded with some of the NHL's top talent.
Sweden vs Italy prediction
Sweden vs Italy best bet: Sweden -5.5 (+105 at BET99)
Every single rostered player on Team Sweden is not only a current NHL player, but an established one. They have nine players with at least 40 points this season.
Contrarily, Team Italy's only player with an NHL affiliation is goaltender Damian Clara, who played in two AHL games in 2024-25. Most of their team plays in the ICEHL -- a Central European league based predominantly in Austria, which was ranked as the number six European league in 2022-23.
Sweden's moneyline is currently priced at an astounding -20000. That should set the scene for how this game will likely unfold.
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Sweden vs Italy odds
- Moneyline: Sweden -20000 | Italy +3500
- Puck Line: Sweden -5.5 (+105) | Italy +5.5 (-135)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-145) | Under 6.5 (+115)
How to watch Sweden vs Italy
| Location | Milana Santagiulia Arena, Milan, Italy |
| Date | Wednesday, February 11, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 3:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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