Italy vs USA Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's Women's Olympic Hockey Game

Cordell's prediction: Team USA makes light work of hosts.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Feb 13, 2026 • 08:22 ET • 4 min read
Megan Keller United States women's hockey
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Megan Keller (5) of the United States skates with the puck.

USA entered the Olympics as favorites to claim gold and they have shown why, winning their first four games by a combined score of 20-1.

My Italy vs. USA predictions see another blowout victory in the cards for the United States.

Let’s break down my free betting picks for Friday, February 13.

Italy vs USA prediction

Italy vs USA Best bet: USA -6.5 (-120 at Fanatics)

USA is 4-0 with a +19 goal differential despite facing the No. 2, 3, 4, and 5 teams in the world. They’ve faced the toughest competition possible and still completely overmatched their opponents each time out.

They should be able to take things up a notch against Italy, the No. 17-ranked country in the world.

The hosts are 2-2 in their group, but don’t let that fool you. Sweden (No. 6) is the highest-ranked team they’ve faced, and Italy lost 6-1 while giving up 47 shots.

USA is a completely different animal and should run up the score.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Italy vs USA same-game parlay

USA -6.5

Over 7.5

USA has scored five goals in every single game, which is impressive given the quality of competition they’ve faced. They have only played Top-5 opponents.

Dropping down a few levels to play the No. 17-ranked country, USA should dominate from start to finish and put up a new tournament-high in goals. There is a real chance they clear the Over themselves.

Italy vs USA SGP

  • USA -6.5
  • Over 7.5

Italy vs USA odds

  • Moneyline: Italy OTB | USA OTB
  • Puck Line: Italy +6.5 | USA -6.5
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

How to watch Italy vs USA

Location Milano Rho Ice Hockey Arena, Milano, Italy
Date Friday, February 13, 2026
Puck drop 3:10 p.m. ET
TV
Peacock

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo