Rangers vs Capitals Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Wednesday's NHL Game

Sartori's prediction: Rangers can't solve Capitals.

Tony Sartori - Contributor at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Dec 30, 2025 • 17:20 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 16 hrs
WAS
45 %
NYR
55 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Washington -160 Washington -160
Read Analysis
Washington Capitals Alex Ovechkin NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Washington Capitals left wing Alex Ovechkin (8) celebrates a goal.

The Washington Capitals host the New York Rangers to kick off the NHL’s New Year’s Eve slate.

Washington has dominated this matchup over the past two years, and my Rangers vs. Capitals predictions expect this trend to continue.

Read on for my NHL picks for Wednesday, December 31.

Rangers vs Capitals prediction

Rangers vs Capitals best bet: Capitals moneyline (-160)

The Washington Capitals have won four of the past five meetings between these two teams, and given the New York Rangers’ poor underlying metrics, that dominance is likely to continue on New Year’s Eve.

This season, New York ranks 28th in expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60), 23rd in expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA/60), and 28th in expected goal share.

Meanwhile, Washington outranks the Rangers in each of those three key categories. Not only do the Capitals hold both offensive and defensive advantages, but they are also the superior team in net, as goaltender Logan Thompson is projected to start Wednesday.

Currently the Vezina Trophy front-runner, Thompson carries a 15-10-3 record with a .915 SV% and a 2.33 GAA into this matchup. Across the ice, Igor Shesterkin is expected to start for the Rangers.

Although Shesterkin is also one of the league’s top goaltenders, he trails Thompson in both SV% and GAA. Add in home-ice advantage, and there is little reason not to like Washington in this spot.

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Rangers vs Capitals same-game parlay

If Washington is to win this game, it will need goal production. There may not be two better candidates than Alex Ovechkin and Tom Wilson.

Wilson leads the team in goals this season and is coming off a strong two-goal performance against the Florida Panthers, while Ovechkin has scored four goals over his past five games against New York.

Rangers vs Capitals SGP

  • Capitals moneyline
  • Alex Ovechkin anytime goal
  • Tom Wilson anytime goal

Rangers vs Capitals odds

  • Moneyline: New York +130 | Washington -155
  • Puck line: New York +1.5 (-185) | Washington -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-120) | Under 5.5 (+100)

Rangers vs Capitals trend

Washington has won four of the past five meetings between these two teams. Find more NHL betting trends for Rangers vs. Capitals.

How to watch Rangers vs Capitals

Location Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
Date Wednesday, December 31, 2025
Puck drop 12:30 p.m. ET
TV MSG, MNMT

Rangers vs Capitals latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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