Penguins vs Red Wings Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Saturday's NHL Game

Sartori's prediction: Crosby delivers in high-scoring clash.

Tony Sartori - Contributor at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Jan 3, 2026 • 07:00 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Jan 03 • 12:00 PM ET
DET
59 %
PIT
41 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o6.5 (+100)
See Today's Picks
Pittsburgh Penguins center Sidney Crosby (87) skates with the puck.
Photo By - Imagn Images.Pittsburgh Penguins center Sidney Crosby (87) skates with the puck.

The Detroit Red Wings host the Pittsburgh Penguins in a rematch of their game just two days prior.

Pittsburgh won that first game 4-3, and my Penguins vs. Red Wings predictions expect a similar result this time around.

Read on for my NHL picks for Saturday, January 3.

Penguins vs Red Wings prediction

Penguins vs Red Wings best bet: Over 6.5 (+100)

These teams typically produce high-scoring games when they meet, with seven or more total goals scored in nine of the past 12 matchups. That trend is likely to continue Saturday, given that both teams combined for seven goals in their meeting two days ago.

Both offenses have been excellent this season, with each ranking in the top 10 in the league in expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60). Meanwhile, neither projected starting goaltender has fared well.

The Pittsburgh Penguins are expected to start Stuart Skinner, who carries a .888 save percentage into this matchup. On the other end of the ice, John Gibson is slated to start for the Detroit Red Wings.

Like Skinner, Gibson brings a sub-.900 save percentage into this meeting.

With poor goaltending and inconsistent defensive play, both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in goals allowed per game. Considering those variables, there is little reason to believe this game will play out much differently than the 4-3 result from a few days ago.

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Penguins vs Red Wings same-game parlay

Both teams will likely need goal production for the over to cash, and there may not be two stronger candidates than Sidney Crosby and Alex DeBrincat. Crosby leads Pittsburgh in goals this season, while DeBrincat co-leads Detroit in the same category.

In fact, both players scored in the Penguins’ 4-3 win over the Red Wings a few days ago.

Penguins vs Red Wings SGP

  • Over 6.5 
  • Crosby to score
  • DeBrincat to score

Penguins vs Red Wings odds

  • Moneyline: Penguins +125 | Red Wings -150
  • Puck Line: Penguins +1.5 (-205) | Red Wings -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: Over Over 6.5 (+100) | Under Under 6.5 (-120)

Penguins vs Red Wings trend

The over has cashed in eight of the past 10 meetings between these two teams. Find more NHL betting trends for Penguins vs. Red Wings.

How to watch Penguins vs Red Wings

Location Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Date Saturday, January 3, 2026
Puck drop 12:00 p.m. ET
TV ABC

Penguins vs Red Wings latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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