Penguins vs Flyers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NHL Playoffs Game 3

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 22, 2026 , 04:03 PM ET • 3 min read

Rickard Rakell has been playing well throughout the series, even if the results haven’t followed just yet. Our NHL betting picks expect that to turn around on Wednesday night.

NHL

Match starts: 1 hrs
PIT
51 %
PHI
49 %
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Pittsburgh Penguins Rickard Rakell NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Pittsburgh Penguins right wing Rickard Rakell (67) skates with the puck.

Rickard Rakell has already had success against the defensively disciplined Philadelphia Flyers this season, recording at least a point in three of their four matchups, including the playoffs.

Heading into Game 3, our Penguins vs. Flyers predictions expect the top-line winger to stay involved offensively as the Pittsburgh Penguins look to swing momentum and get back into the series.

Let’s break down my NHL picks for Wednesday, April 22.

Penguins vs Flyers Game 3 prediction

Who will win Penguins vs Flyers Game 3?

Pittsburgh: This series has not been as one-sided as the 6-2 scoreline suggests. The Penguins are winning the high-danger chance battle 19-15 but are shooting only 4.55% after ranking fourth in finishing rate (12.38%) during the regular season.

Penguins vs Flyers best bet: Rickard Rakell Over 0.5 points (-110)

The Pittsburgh Penguins have tilted the ice during Rickard Rakell’s 5-on-5 minutes.

They've controlled 66% of expected goals, 71% of scoring chances, and generated 33 shot attempts through two games with Rakell on the ice, the most of any Penguins forward.

He's also a focal point on the man advantage, where only Evgeni Malkin's had more ice time.

Rakell’s being used in prime offensive situations, and the Penguins are generating chances. Dan Vladar is unlikely to sustain a .954 SV%, and Rakell is a prime candidate to help break through.

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Penguins vs Flyers Game 3 same-game parlay

Bryan Rust skates on the same line and power play unit as Rakell, so there is strong correlation there. There are also encouraging signs production could be coming.

Rust is tied for first in the series in high-danger chances, so I’m buying stock.

We’ll round out the parlay with Travis Sanheim blocks. The minute-munching defenseman blocked multiple shots in 73% of his home games following one day of rest, and his usage is predictably higher in the playoffs.

The Penguins will make a big push in Game 3, which should lead to plenty of block opportunities for the Philadelphia Flyers stalwart.

Penguins vs Flyers SGP

  • Rickard Rakell Over 0.5 points
  • Bryan Rust Over 0.5 points
  • Travis Sanheim Over 1.5 blocked shots

Penguins vs Flyers Game 3 goal scorer pick

Rickard Rakell (+210)

Rakell finished the regular season with seven goals over his final eight games. While he hasn’t found the net in this series, he leads the Penguins in expected goals at 5-on-5.

The vast majority of his shot volume comes from the slot and in, which is key. An in-form Vladar is unlikely to be beaten from range.

Penguins vs Flyers odds for Game 3

  • Moneyline: Pittsburgh +100 | Philadelphia -120
  • Puck line: Pittsburgh +1.5 (-270) | Philadelphia -1.5 (+210)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (+120) | Under 5.5 (+100)

Penguins vs Flyers trend

Rickard Rakell has points in three of four games against Philadelphia this season. Find more NHL betting trends for Penguins vs. Flyers.

How to watch Penguins vs Flyers Game 3

Location Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA
Date Wednesday, April 22, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV TNT

Penguins vs Flyers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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