Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes Picks and Predictions: Buds Battle A Familiar Face

The Maple Leafs will try to snap a three-game skid as slight NHL betting underdogs vs. former goalie Freddie Andersen and the Hurricanes. Carolina has been dominant to start the year, however, so we're not too keen on backing the Buds tonight.

Last Updated: Oct 25, 2021 12:20 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Frederik Andersen Carolina Hurricanes NHL
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The Toronto Maple Leafs head to Raleigh, North Carolina to take on the Carolina Hurricanes in NHL action on Monday night.

The Buds will face off against their former netminder, Frederik Andersen, as the goalie tries to build on his red-hot start to the season. NHL betting lines have the Canes installed as slim -115 home favorites with the Over/Under at 6.

Here are our best free Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes picks and predictions for Monday, October 25, with the puck dropping at 7 p.m. ET. 

Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes odds

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Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes picks

Picks made on 10/25/2021 at 11:20 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes game info

Location: PNC Arena, Raleigh, NC
Date: Monday, October 25, 2021
Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports South, Rogers Sportsnet East/Ontario/Pacific

Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes betting preview


Maple Leafs: Petr Mrazek G (Out), Ilya Mikheyev RW (Out).
Hurricanes: None.
Find our latest NHL injury reports.

Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes head-to-head record (Since 2018-19)

Maple Leafs: 2-3, 18 goals for.
Hurricanes: 3-2, 22 goals for.

Betting trend to know

The Maple Leafs are 0-4 in their last four games against a team with a winning record. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes.

Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes picks and predictions

The Maple Leafs had another early exodus from the postseason last spring and decided to switch it up between the pipes, allowing long-time goalie Frederik Andersen to depart as a free agent while signing Petr Mrazek from Carolina to replace him and join Jack Campbell in the Leafs' crease.

Mrazek is currently sidelined with a groin injury and Campbell has carried the load in nets. Campbell put together a terrific campaign in 2020-21 and was solid to start this season before a brutal outing on Saturday, where he allowed five goals on 21 shots to the Penguins. That was the third consecutive loss for Toronto who dropped to 2-3-1 to begin the year. 

The Hurricanes have opened this season with four straight wins, outscoring their opponents 18-7 in the process. Carolina had the third-best point percentage in the league last season but was knocked out in the second round of the playoffs by eventual Stanley Cup champion Tampa Bay. 

In what essentially ended up being a goalie swap for these two clubs, the Hurricanes signed Andersen as a free agent. He struggled through injuries last season but is back on top of his game with Carolina, going 4-0 with a 1.75 goals-against average and a .944 save percentage.

The Hurricanes have also given him plenty of offensive support, ranking fifth in the league in goals per 60 minutes (3.81) at even strength, while also converting on 6-of-16 power-play opportunities.

The Leafs, on the other hand, have been much less effective on the offensive end of the ice. While they are creating chances, they haven't been capitalizing on them, scoring just 1.82 GF/60 at even strength while going just 3-of-19 with the man advantage. 

The Canes are always tough to play at home, going 23-3-5 in their last 31 regular-season games at PNC Arena, and with the Leafs struggling to put the puck in the net, being able to take Carolina at close to a pick'em price is good value. 

The Under is 5-1 in Carolina's last six games at home and the Under has cashed in four of Toronto's previous five contests on the road.

Campbell had an awful night between the pipes against the Penguins but prior to that game he had turned aside 82 of 86 shots this season for a save percentage of .953. The Leafs have also done a solid job of limiting shots lately, allowing 27 shots per game over their last four contests.

Campbell had an impressive 2.15 GAA with a .921 save percentage in 22 games last season and his strong play was a big reason Andersen wasn't offered a contract.

That said, Andersen has thrived while surrounded by a better defensive team in Carolina and he should be highly motivated against his former team. With the Leafs tied for third-last in the league with just 2.0 goals per game, back the Under 6 tonight. 

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