Capitals vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 8, 2026 , 12:08 PM ET • 3 min read

Parker's prediction: Anthony Stolarz turns away a bevy of shots with Washington looking to stay in postseason picture.

NHL

Match starts: 6 hrs
WAS
50 %
TOR
50 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Anthony Stolarz o25.5  Total Saves (-125) Anthony Stolarz o25.5 Total Saves (-125)
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Toronto Maple Leafs starting NHL goalie Anthony Stolarz
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Maple Leafs starting goalie Anthony Stolarz.

The Toronto Maple Leafs look to play spoiler again when they host the Washington Capitals at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday, April 8.

Washington still has a slim chance of punching a postseason ticket, so my top Capitals vs. Maple Leafs predictions and NHL picks are calling for the Caps to pepper Toronto goalie Anthony Stolarz with shots tonight.

Capitals vs Maple Leafs prediction

Capitals vs Maple Leafs best bet: Anthony Stolarz Over 25.5 saves (-125)

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 5-10-5 out of the Olympic break while allowing the most shots per game (34.9) and ranking last in Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5, so with the Washington Capitals still battling for a playoff spot, I expect the Caps to carry the play while caving the Leafs in for sustained chunks of time.

Of course, Toronto starter Anthony Stolarz has also been solid with a .910 save percentage and 8.71 goals saved above expected across nine games during the highlighted slump, so he stands to face enough rubber to clear this saves total tonight.

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Capitals vs Maple Leafs same-game parlay

I’m expecting Stolarz to play well enough to cash the Under. Toronto ranks 31st in expected goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 across the noted 20-game stretch, and Washington is 19th, so these are both below-average offenses.

Still, the Maple Leafs have seen a spark since rookie Easton Cowan has climbed to the No. 1 line with John Tavares and William Nylander.

Cowan has marked the scoresheet in three straight, and Nylander has three or more shots in three consecutive games, while they’ve clicked with Tavares and have been on the ice for 9.63 goals per 60 minutes.

Capitals vs Maple Leafs SGP

  • Under 6.5
  • Easton Cowan Over 0.5 points
  • William Nylander Over 2.5 shots on goal

Capitals vs Maple Leafs odds

  • Moneyline: Capitals -150 | Maple Leafs +130
  • Puck Line: Capitals -1.5 (+155) | Maple Leafs +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-115) | Under 6.5 (-105)

Capitals vs Maple Leafs trend

The Washington Capitals have won 14 of their last 25 games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Capitals vs. Maple Leafs.

How to watch Capitals vs Maple Leafs

Location Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Date Wednesday, April 8, 2026
Puck drop 7:30 p.m. ET
TV MNMT, SN

Capitals vs Maple Leafs latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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