Maple Leafs vs Avalanche Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Tonight’s NHL Game

AM34 has been firing at will since Christmas, and he'll continue to do so against the league's elite.

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst
Jan 12, 2026 • 09:38 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 10 hrs
COL
66 %
TOR
34 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Auston Matthews o3.5  Shots On Goal (+100) Auston Matthews o3.5 Shots On Goal (+100)
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Toronto Maple Leafs center Auston Matthews (34) skates with the puck against the Philadelphia Flyers during overtime at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Toronto Maple Leafs center Auston Matthews (34) skates with the puck against the Philadelphia Flyers during overtime at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

We're in for a cross-conference matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Colorado Avalanche on January 12.

Toronto will need a monster performance from Auston Matthews tonight, and my Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche predictions expect him to provide one.

Find out why with my free NHL picks for January 12.

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche prediction

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche best bet: Auston Matthews Over 3.5 shots (+100)

Auston Matthews has seven goals and five assists over the Toronto Maple Leafs' last nine games, but the biggest difference is how much more he’s shooting the puck. 

AM34 is averaging 4.88 shots per game over that stretch, which makes his shot prop tonight a juicy bet that’s paying even money. He’s gone Over this number in seven of his last nine games.

As for the Colorado Avalanche, they’ve given up 25+ shots per game in nine of their last 10 outings, so the shot volume should be there for Matthews & Co.

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Maple Leafs vs Avalanche same-game parlay

Matthew Knies has nine points in his last nine games and is now back on the top line with Matthews. I expect that line to produce tonight. 

I’m expecting an offensively filled game between these two clubs. Both teams can score, and have been doing a lot of it lately. Additionally, the game total has gone Over this total in six of the last eight meetings.  

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche SGP

  • Auston Matthews Over 3.5 shots
  • Matthew Knies Over 0.5 points
  • Over 6.5

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche odds

  • Moneyline: Maple Leafs +210 | Avalanche -260
  • Puck Line: Maple Leafs +1.5 (-110) | Avalanche -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115)

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche trend

The Over is 6-3-1 in the last 10 games between the two teams. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche.

How to watch Maple Leafs vs Avalanche

Location Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date Monday, January 12, 2026
Puck drop 10:00 p.m. ET
TV Sportsnet Ontario, ALT

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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