Lightning vs Panthers Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Tonight’s NHL Game

Gilbert's prediction: Panthers claw out a win vs. Lightning.

Ryan Gilbert - Contributor at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Nov 15, 2025 • 08:20 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 6 hrs
FLA
70 %
TB
30 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Florida -140 Florida -140
Read Analysis
Florida Panthers left wing Brad Marchand (63) warms up before a game.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Florida Panthers left wing Brad Marchand (63) warms up before a game.

The Florida Panthers are looking to make it three wins in a row when they host the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday evening. This will be the first meeting between the in-state rivals since the Cats ousted the Bolts in last year's playoffs.

The Lightning are a bit beat up right now with injuries to Victor Hedman, Anthony Cirelli, and Brandon Hagel. Missing any of those three players can cause a trickle-down effect in the lineup, and missing two or three of them can be catastrophic.

My Lightning vs. Panthers prediction is targeting the Cats at home.

Read on as I break down my NHL picks for Saturday, November 15.

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Lightning vs Panthers prediction

Lightning vs Panthers Best bet: Panthers moneyline (-140)

The Florida Panthers are starting to find their game this season. They're  6-3-1 in their last 10 games after a four-game losing streak, with victories in three of their last four contests.

The Tampa Bay Lightning have been playing well, too, but they're just 4-2-2 on the road while the Panthers are 6-1-1 at home. And those aforementioned injuries loom large against a Florida team that is mostly healthy outside of the long-term absences for Aleksander Barkov and Matthew Tkachuk.

Furthermore, the Panthers have been strong between the pipes with Sergei Bobrovsky allowing two goals in each of his last two starts against Vegas and Los Angeles, while Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed five goals on 13 shots in his last start.

The Panthers have taken over in this rivalry, and they'll continue that on Saturday in Sunrise.

Lightning vs Panthers same-game parlay

This should be a close, tight-checking game in Florida, especially if the Lightning are without a few of their key players. Tampa Bay has gone under in four of its last six games, and Florida in two of its last three.

Brad Marchand has been phenomenal for the Panthers, both in last year's playoffs and this season. He extended his point streak to nine games with two assists against the Capitals, giving him 14 points in that span.

Lightning vs Panthers SGP

  • Panthers moneyline
  • Under 5.5
  • Marchand 1+ points

Lightning vs Panthers odds

  • Moneyline: Lightning +115 | Panthers -140
  • Puck Line: Lightning +1.5 (-210) | Panthers -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 

Lightning vs Panthers trend

The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 43 away games (+6.15 Units / 13% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Lightning vs. Panthers.

How to watch Lightning vs Panthers

Location Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, FL
Date Saturday, November 15, 2025
Puck drop 5:00 p.m. ET
TV The Spot, SCRIPPS

Lightning vs Panthers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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