The Edmonton Oilers have to find a way to bounce back for the third time in this series, except their season is over if they don't get the job done tonight.
The Vegas Golden Knights won the pivotal Game 5 on home ice by a 4-3 scoreline and now have a chance to advance to the Western Conference Finals.
Whether it's Stuaart Skinner or Jack Campbell between the pipes, I expect the Oilers to come out with a ton of energy tonight.
Find out my best bet in our free NHL picks and predictions for Oilers vs. Golden Knights on May 14.
Golden Knights vs Oilers Game 6 odds
Golden Knights vs Oilers series odds
|Team||To win||Win in 6||Win in 7|
Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of May 14.
Golden Knights vs Oilers Game 6 predictions
It’s win or go home for the Edmonton Oilers, but they are 2-0 in this series following a loss and have outscored the Vegas Golden Knights 9-2 in those games. For whatever reason, they bring their best when their best is needed.
The Oilers haven’t announced their starting goalie at the time of writing but I have a feeling that they’re going to go with Stuart Skinner. His numbers haven’t been very impressive in these playoffs, but he's been the guy that’s gotten them this far. He's skating to a .890 save percentage and a 3.52 GAA.
All three of Edmonton’s goals in Game 5 came on the power play, so they'll need to try and find some 5-on-5 scoring to help get them over the hump. They’ve been strong at even strength during these playoffs, skating to a 2.83 expected goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5, the third-highest mark in the postseason.
The Golden Knights will have to do everything they can to stay out of the penalty box. Vegas has been pretty strong on the road, averaging 3.36 goals per game and only 2.69 goals against.
Edmonton has been just as strong on home ice, scoring 3.85 goals per game and 3.00 goals against.
My best bet: Oilers three-way moneyline (-120 at BetMGM)
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Golden Knights vs Oilers Game 6 moneyline analysis
The Oilers will be very happy to get Darnell Nurse back on the blue line after he missed Game 5 with a suspension. Alex Pietrangelo will be back as well for the Golden Knights, but the Oilers might need this boost a little more to help them defensively.
Skinner is going to have to be at his best tonight if the Oilers are going to have any chance. Sometimes people say that the best defense is a good offense, but even when Edmonton's offense has shown up, they haven’t gotten the goaltending needed to get a victory.
Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and Evan Bouchard are three of the five leading scorers in the playoffs and if Edmonton is going to win tonight, it’s most likely going to be because of these three players.
The emotions will be high with Nurse and Pietrangelo being inserted back into their respective lineups and if this turns into a special teams battle, it will be all Oilers.
Golden Knights vs Oilers Game 6 Over/Under analysis
I’ve been taking the over in basically every game of this series, hoping and praying that it would hit, but I have continued to be wrong.
The Over pushed in Game 5 after the Under hit in three straight games, and now that we're in an elimination game, I think both teams will try to tighten things up defensively.
The Golden Knights are allowing 3.10 goals against per game, which is slightly better than Edmonton's 3.36 goals against mark.
Adin Hill is the likely starter for the Golden Knights. He's put up some strong numbers in his brief playoff stint: he's 2-1-0 with a 2.25 GAA and a .927 SV%.
Skinner’s numbers aren’t as strong for Edmonton, but he has definitely been more battle tested. If the Oilers do decide to start Campbell, he is boasting a 1.19 goals against average with a .957 save percentage.
In a big game like this, both teams will take fewer risks, keeping it Under the total.
Golden Knights vs Oilers betting trend to know
The Oilers are 12-3 in their last 15 home games. Find more NHL betting trends for Golden Knights vs. Oilers.
Golden Knights vs Oilers Game 6 game info
|Location:||Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB|
|Date:||Sunday, May 14, 2023|
|Puck drop:||10:00 p.m. ET|