Week 9 NFL Parlay Picks: Bring Out the Best on Sunday

The NFL odds seemed to have caught up with bettors last week, as favorites and underdogs enjoyed an 8-8 split based on Covers’ closing spreads. I’m looking for the Kansas City Chiefs to rebound from a stunning upset at the hands of the Denver Broncos in the Week 9 odds, where I’ll be playing them as part of a three-leg parlay that includes an underdog with a shot to win outright and a total play.

I’m also looking at the big matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys as a place to play my best same-game parlay for Week 9. Read on to see my free NFL parlay picks for Sunday’s action. 

Week 9 NFL parlay picks

• Chiefs -1.5 + Vikings +3.5 + Bills/Bengals Under 50.5 = +595 at FanDuel
• Eagles moneyline + Hurts anytime TD + Hurts 250+ passing yards = +550 at BetMGM

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Best Week 9 parlay pick

Chiefs -1.5

Vikings +3.5

Bills/Bengals Under 50.5

+595 at FanDuel

Many NFL fans will be getting up early on Sunday to watch the Miami Dolphins take on the Kansas City Chiefs in Frankfurt, Germany. The Chiefs will be hoping they’ve already gotten their wake-up call last week when the Broncos managed to not only beat them but shut down the vaunted Kansas City offense in a 24-9 final. 

Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins have the most explosive offense in the NFL. However, they haven’t been able to get the job done against their two marquee opponents this year, losing away from home against the Buffalo Bills and the Philadelphia Eagles and being held to 20 points or less each time. The Chiefs should be able to continue that trend and get back to their winning ways in Germany.

The Minnesota Vikings and the Atlanta Falcons will both be dealing with question marks at quarterback when they face off on Sunday. Minnesota will start rookie Jaren Hall in place of the injured Kirk Cousins, while the Falcons are giving Taylor Heinicke a shot in place of the struggling Desmond Ridder.

I have little confidence in either offense to adjust quickly, particularly as the Under already had a 13-3 combined record for these two teams before their quarterback changes. But the Vikings have won three straight and four of five, and have been playing outstanding defense during this stretch. That defense could easily lead Minnesota to another win this week and definitely makes me want to bet them getting 3.5 points.

Let’s round out our parlay this week by looking at the Buffalo Bills vs. the Cincinnati Bengals. While these two teams can both score, they haven’t done so consistently this season. Buffalo hasn’t scored more than 25 points in any of its last four games and is averaging 20.8 points per game in that stretch. The Bengals have been more up and down, but have also averaged just 21.3 points over their last four outings. 

Buffalo ranks third in the NFL in scoring defense, while Cincinnati is right in the middle of the pack. This is all to say that I see no reason why this game should have a total above 50 points. Are these teams capable of getting to that number? Of course they are. But that’s not the baseline I’d expect from these two teams in the 2023 NFL, where points have been a little harder to come by than we’ve expected. I’m taking the Under.

Best Week 9 SGP

Eagles moneyline

Jalen Hurts Anytime TD

Jalen Hurts 250+ passing yards

+550 at BetMGM

If Dolphins vs. Chiefs is the game of the week, the NFC East battle between the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles could at least earn the title of best game played in the United States for Week 9. While the Eagles have looked like the best team in the NFL for much of the season, Dallas has been a somewhat quiet 5-2 and will look to show they can compete with their division rival on Sunday afternoon.

Unfortunately for the Cowboys, I don’t think they have quite enough to beat the Eagles in Philadelphia. The Eagles are undefeated at home, with their only loss coming against the New York Jets, who have one of the few defenses that can slow them down. The Cowboys defense has also been quite effective for the most part, but we’ve seen them allow 42 points on the road in Miami, and 28 in Arizona to the Cardinals. This will be a great game, but ultimately, there’s no reason not to take the Eagles on the moneyline at home as the better team.

At first glance, it may seem that the Cowboys should at least be able to slow down the Eagles passing game, as they have allowed an average of just 178.6 yards through the air. However, this is large because teams have been passing less against Dallas than almost any team in the NFL. The Cowboys are allowing a poor 10.4 yards per completion when teams actually decide to throw the ball against them.

Make no mistake: Jalen Hurts will throw against the Dallas secondary, and likely do so effectively. Hurts has thrown for at least 277 yards in each of his last six games. I’m not quite sure if he’ll keep that streak alive against the Cowboys, but I’m confident enough to add in a prop bet on Hurts to throw for 250 yards or more in this game – an easy target for the prolific quarterback.

Honestly, though, we know what we’re really looking for from Hurts. Whether you call it the Tush Push or the Brotherly Shove, whether you love it or hate it, it has become one of the most effective plays in the NFL and a go-to option in short-yardage situations.

Hurts didn’t score on the ground last week, but he had reached the endzone in three straight contests before then and has scored at least once in five of the Eagles first eight games. Going up against a solid Dallas defense, Hurts will be expected to produce something with his legs. Whether it comes on a bootleg or via the combined weight of his teammates, I’m adding a Hurts anytime touchdown to complete my same-game parlay.

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