Vikings vs Steelers Props & Best Bets for Week 4

The NFL is in Dublin, Ireland, on Sunday morning. Our expert NFL player prop predictions are highlighted by Justin Jefferson, Aaron Rodgers, and Jaylen Warren.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Sep 27, 2025 • 13:33 ET • 4 min read
Justin Jefferson of the Minnesota Vikings
Photo By - Brad Rempel-Imagn Images

Sunday’s Minnesota Vikings vs. Pittsburgh Steelers showdown in Dublin, Ireland, spotlights some of the NFL’s most dynamic playmakers. 

Justin Jefferson remains Minnesota’s offensive centerpiece, while DK Metcalf and Jaylen Warren have given Pittsburgh a pair of solid receivers. 

Find out why the pair headline my Vikings vs. Steelers props and NFL picks for Sunday, September 28

Vikings vs Steelers props

Player Pick FanDuel
Steelers Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 rushing yards -112
Steelers Jaylen Warren Over 23.5 receiving yards -114
Vikings Justin Jefferson Over 72.5 receiving yards -114

Prop bet #1: Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 rushing yards

-112 at FanDuel

While Aaron Rodgers is no longer a dual-threat quarterback, he still moves well enough to extend plays. 

One scramble, QB sneak, or even a broken play is all that’s required to cash this ticket. 

In fact, Rodgers has cleared this number in three of his last five starts. The Pittsburgh Steelers’ defensive front is aggressive, and that pressure often forces quarterbacks to take off at least once. 

With calm Dublin weather expected, field conditions are unlikely to be an issue. At such a low rushing yards number, this is a prop with minimal risk and solid value.

Prop bet #2: Jaylen Warren Over 23.5 receiving yards

-114 at FanDuel

Jaylen Warren has become one of Pittsburgh’s most reliable offensive playmakers, especially in the passing game. 

He enters Week 4 ranked fourth in the NFL in yards after catch with 154, a testament to his ability to turn short receptions into explosive gains. 

That skill set makes him especially dangerous against defenses like the Minnesota Vikings that allow underneath completions, as even a swing pass or quick check-down can cover this number in a single play. 

With 11 catches for 142 receiving yards already this season, Warren’s role is established, and the modest 23.5-yard line gives him plenty of room to hit the Over in Dublin.

Prop bet #3: Justin Jefferson Over 72.5 receiving yards

-114 at FanDuel

Even with Carson Wentz starting at quarterback, Justin Jefferson should remain the focal point of Minnesota’s passing attack. 

Jefferson is arguably the best in the league at creating separation and winning contested catches. He’s cleared his receiving yardage prop in his last two games, including 75 yards on five receptions in Week 3 against Cincinnati. 

The Steelers’ defense is allowing 8.5 yards per completion, which sets up perfectly for Jefferson’s ability to generate explosive plays and clear his receiving yards prop. 

Jefferson doesn’t need a high volume of receptions to clear this number, as two or three chunk plays should do the job. 

With favorable weather in Dublin and Wentz expected to funnel targets his way, Jefferson is well-positioned to surpass his receiving yards total.

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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