The Seattle Seahawks host the Houston Texans at Lumen Field for Monday Night Football and final game on Week 7 schedule.
My early Texans vs. Seahawks predictions and NFL picks lean to Seattle covering the number in a low-scoring nightcap Monday, October 20.
Texans vs Seahawks predictions
Here are our early thoughts on the spread and total for this week’s game. We will have a full game preview (with a best bet and SGP) later in the week.
Early MNF spread pick: Seahawks -3
Injuries are beginning to pile up for the Seattle Seahawks, while the Houston Texans haven’t played since a 44-10 drubbing of the Baltimore Ravens in Week 5.
Still, the Seahawks have been a statistical darling through six games, and the Texans' two wins have unimpressively come against the 1-5 Tennessee Titans and Ravens without star quarterback Lamar Jackson (hamstring).
Houston QB C.J. Stroud threw for just 6.7 yards per attempt and a 64.0% completion rate through the first three weeks, too, so beating up on the Titans and Ravens carries far less significance.
Of course, Seattle has received elite quarterback play from Sam Darnold, who has aired it out for a league-high 9.3 yards per attempt while ranking second in both PFF offense grade and passing grade. He’s also pacing the NFL in adjusted EPA per play.
With the extra rest day ahead of Monday Night Football, and multiple key Seahawks players sitting in Week 6, I like taking the superior quarterback at home with the spread at the key number of 3.
Early MNF total pick: Under 41
The Texans have played to the Under in four of five games while allowing the fewest points per game to give them an active 7-15 Over/Under record, and the Seahawks have also played solid defensively with the sixth-fewest points allowed per game to start the season.
Additionally, Houston ranks fourth in defensive DVOA and ninth in PFF defense grade, and Seattle, respectively, checks in ranked seventh and 11th.
Again, though, a big takeaway from the Houston game log is that Stroud hasn’t impressed against quality opponents. Without doubt, an extra week of prep and momentum are on his side, but I still expect the Texans to have hiccups against a stout Seattle stop unit.
Darnold will also have his struggles. Houston paces the NFL in pass rush win rate and ranks third in PFF pass rush grade, so the Seattle offensive line, which ranks 21st in pass block win rate and 20th in PFF pass block grade, will have its hands full.
It’s a mismatch Seattle will need to mitigate, and it’s also another strong case for the Under.
Texans vs Seahawks odds
- Texans vs. Seahawks spread: Seahawks -3
- Texans vs. Seahawks moneyline: Texans +160, Seahawks -190
- Texans vs. Seahawks Over/Under: 41
How to watch Texans vs Seahawks
- Texans vs. Seahawks matchup
- Date: Monday, October 20, 2025, 10:00 p.m. ET
- City: Seattle, WA
- Venue: Lumen Field
- TV: ESPN
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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