It’s a classic AFC North clash at M&T Bank Stadium with the division lead up for grabs when the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, December 7.
My Steelers vs. Ravens same-game parlay NFL picks are calling for Baltimore and quarterback Lamar Jackson rising to the occasion and handing Pittsburgh a third consecutive loss in Week 14.
Our best Steelers vs Ravens SGP for Week 14
Top spot in the AFC North is up for grabs in Week 14, and even with the Baltimore Ravens slipping up against the Cincinnati Bengals on Thanksgiving, I like the home team at M&T Bank Stadium.
The Ravens had won five straight with an average margin of victory of 12.8 points prior to Week 13, and Baltimore ranked eighth in offensive DVOA and 12th in defensive DVOA during the heater.
It’s been just the opposite for the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Steelers have lost five of their past seven while ranking lower in both offensive (18th) and defensive (16th) DVOA during the stretch.
Pittsburgh has also only covered the number twice during the seven-game skid, and the Steelers have also only covered once in their past eight road games.
I don’t have any confidence in Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers, either. He hasn’t thrown multiple touchdown passes since Week 8 and just finished Week 13 with the lowest EPA + CPOE composite rating of all QBs.
This is a bounce-back spot for Ravens QB Lamar Jackson, too.
He hasn’t had a rushing yards total this low once since the beginning of the 2024 season, and while his recent numbers on the ground are ho-hum, he’s still topped this number in two of his past four games and has averaged 6.2 carries per since returning from injury in Week 9.
Additionally, Pittsburgh has allowed four rushing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks, including Bills QB Josh Allen last week.
Steelers vs Ravens SGP
- Ravens -5.5
- Lamar Jackson Over 25.5 rushing yards
- Lamar Jackson anytime touchdown
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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