Best Patriots vs Bills Same Game Parlay for Sunday Night Football Week 5

Jason Logan breaks down his favorite Patriots vs. Bills same-game parlay ahead of Sunday Night Football from Highmark Stadium.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Oct 3, 2025 • 07:00 ET • 4 min read
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) runs in the pocket.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) runs in the pocket.

The Buffalo Bills aim to stay undefeated when they host the rival New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football.

Buffalo will sport their new “Cold Front” uniforms for this AFC East encounter, and perhaps the only thing looking better than the Bills is my same game parlay for the primetime tilt.

My Patriots vs. Bills predictions and NFL picks like Josh Allen to rack up the passing touchdowns on October 5. 

Our best Patriots vs Bills SGP for Week 5

The Buffalo Bills are a sizable favorite on Sunday night and offer a significant step up in competition for the New England Patriots. The Bills have lost only one divisional home game since 2020, and a “White Out” crowd in Orchard Park will help fuel Buffalo to 5-0.

Josh Allen is also a huge leap in QB competition for the Patriots. While New England can slam the door on the Bills’ run game, the Pats have been picked apart through the air. Allen’s projections are all leaning toward two TD throws on SNF.

“Everyone eats” in this Bills receiving corps, and Joshua Palmer is fat with value in the touchdown market. Palmer is Buffalo’s best receiving option versus man coverage — something New England runs at a high rate — and is tied for the team high in WR red zone targets with four.

Patriots vs Bills 3-leg SGP

  • Bills Moneyline
  • Josh Allen Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
  • Joshua Palmer anytime touchdown

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jasons first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast; WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio; he had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers; flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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