Packers vs Bears Computer Picks: Our Best Week 16 Player Prop Projections

Our NFL player prop projections for this NFC North showdown like Josh Jacobs — and his counterpart on the Bears — to find success rushing the ball.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Dec 20, 2025 • 09:35 ET • 4 min read
Packers vs Bears computer picks Josh Jacobs
Photo By - Imagn Images. Green Bay Packers running back Josh Jacobs (8) is tackled by Chicago Bears defensive back Kevin Byard III (31).

Saturday night NFL football is back for Week 16, with the prime-time leg of a doubleheader featuring an NFC North showdown between the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears at Soldier Field.

Our NFL player prop projections have identified the best NFL prop values for this game, including both running games finding a little bit of success.

Packers vs Bears computer picks for Week 16

Packers Packers Bears Bears
Love u235.5 pass
-114
Williams u212.5 pass
-114
Jacobs o66.5 rush
-114
Swift o49.5 rush
-114
Reed o39.5 rec
-114
Moore o46.5 rec
-114
Musgrave o19.5 rec
-114
Loveland o43.5 rec
-114
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Packers Week 16 computer picks

Jordan Love Under 235.5 passing yards (-114)

Projection: 229.58 yards

Love has gone Under this number in five of his last six games, and we're projecting him to fall short again tonight.

Bet Love passing yards now at FanDuel!

Josh Jacobs Over 66.5 rushing yards (-114)

Projection: 73.49 yards

We're projecting a busy day for Green Bay's bellcow RB, who has rushed for 73+ yards in five of his last six outings.

Bet Jacobs rushing yards now at FanDuel!

Jayden Reed Over 36.5 receiving yards (-114)

Projection: 44.38 yards

Reed has posted 86 yards in two games since returning from injury, and we're projecting him to finish in the 40s tonight as well.

Bet Reed receiving yards now at FanDuel!

Luke Musgrave Over 19.5 receiving yards (-114)

Projection: 21.05 yards

The Packers TE has 20+ yards in three straight, and we project him to just get Over that total again.

Bet Musgrave receiving yards now at FanDuel!

Bears Week 16 computer picks

Caleb Williams Under 212.5 passing yards (-114)

Projection: 209.82 yards

We're projecting Williams to finish just Under his posted total, which he's done in three of his last four games.

Bet Williams passing yards now at FanDuel!

D'Andre Swift Over 49.5 rushing yards (-114)

Projection: 53.65 yards

Like his Packers counterpart, we expect Chicago's RB1 to go Over his rushing total.

Bet Swift rushing yards now at FanDuel!

D.J. Moore Over 46.5 receiving yards

Projection: 50.75 yards

With the Bears' WR room thin due to injuries, we're projecting Moore to just finish Over his posted yardage line.

Bet Moore receiving yards now at FanDuel!

Colston Loveland Over 43.5 receiving yards

Projection: 43.58 yards

The same goes for the emerging TE, albeit with a razor-thin margin.

Bet Loveland receiving yards now at FanDuel!

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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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