Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers aim to start 2025 strong with a big win on Sunday when the Detroit Lions visit Lambeau Field in Week 1 action.
I dissect the latest Jordan Love odds with my free NFL picks for Sunday, September 7.
Jordan Love prop pick
Jordan Love best bet: Under 30.5 pass attempts (-102 at FanDuel)
The Detroit Lions should look different on defense this season, even with Aidan Hutchinson back fully healthy and ready to go. This unit faces plenty of questions after losing Za’Darius Smith in the offseason and seeing Levi Onwuzurike suffer a season-ending injury.
Despite the weakened pass rush, the Green Bay Packers aren’t inclined to repeatedly throw the ball, which rules out taking Love’s passing touchdown prop. They also generally avoid airing it out in Matt LaFleur's system, with Love surpassing this total just five times last year.
Although Love's passing numbers may end up being efficient, there’s no betting prop for completion percentage, so I’m taking the Under on 30.5 passing attempts.
Jordan Love same-game parlay
Jordan Love Under 33.5 passing attempts
Tucker Kraft 4+ receptions
Packers moneyline
San Francisco’s defense can't hold a candle to what will be the best version of this high-octane Packers offense, and on the flip side, Green Bay's defense should make life miserable for Brock Purdy with Micah Parsons ramping up the pass rush and several of Purdy’s weapons sidelined.
Meanwhile, Packers WR1 Jayden Reed is hampered by an injury, and Tucker Kraft finished the year playing 85.3% of the team's snaps.
Down the stretch, the Green Bay tight end averaged 4.7 targets per game over his last six starts.
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