The New York Giants haven’t won on the road all season and will face the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field with rainy and windy conditions forecasted on Sunday, November 9.
My top NFL picks and Giants vs. Bears predictions are calling for Chicago to cover the number while running all over New York in Week 10.
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Giants vs Bears prediction
Giants vs Bears Best bet: Caleb Williams Over 16.5 rushing yards (-114)
Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams has been forced to scramble 20 times through eight games and has 40 total rushing attempts for the year. He’s averaged a respectable 4.6 yards per carry and has skyrocketed over this total in consecutive games for 77 total rushing yards on just eight totes.
The New York Giants have also been susceptible to mobile quarterbacks with the fourth-most rushing attempts for the fifth-most yards surrendered to opposing quarterbacks for the year.
Additionally, New York has allowed an opposing QB to rush for 17 or more yards in six of nine games:
- Week 1: Jayden Daniels, WSH, 68 yards on 11 attempts
- Week 2: Dak Prescott, DAL, 17 yards on three attempts
- Week 4: Justin Herbert, LAC, 24 yards on one attempt
- Week 5: Spencer Rattler, NO, 21 yards on six attempts
- Week 7: Bo Nix, DEN, 48 yards on five attempts
- Week 8: Jalen Hurts, PHI, 22 yards on four attempts
In addition to the highlighted shortcomings against quarterbacks, the Giants have also been gashed on the ground overall. New York ranks 30th in PFF run defense grade, 32nd in run defense DVOA and has surrendered the highest EPA per rush, after all.
Giants vs Bears same-game parlay
Not only have the Giants failed to win on the highway all season, this will also be their third game away from MetLife Stadium in the past four weeks. New York has been outscored by an average of 9.8 points per road game, too.
Chicago might have a few flaws, and their own defense is suspect, but this is a tough road spot for a New York team that can’t stop the run.
Turning to the Chicago backfield, I’m expecting a near timeshare for D'Andre Swift (groin) and Kyle Monangai (ankle), if Monangai doesn’t handle the lionshare of work after Swift missed Week 9.
It’s obviously a cushy matchup, and Monangai has averaged a healthy 6.1 yards per rush for 281 total across his past three games.
Giants vs Bears SGP
- Bears -4.5
- Caleb Williams Over 16.5 rushing yards
- Kyle Monangai Over 42.5 rushing yards
Our big-ticket SGP: Monangai finds paydirt
New York has allowed 11 touchdowns to opposing running backs through nine games, and Monangai has piled up 13 red-zone carries during the highlighted three-week stretch.
Giants vs Bears SGP
- Bears -4.5
- Caleb Williams Over 16.5 rushing yards
- Kyle Monangai Over 42.5 rushing yards
- Kyle Monangai anytime touchdown
Giants vs Bears odds
- Spread: New York +4.5 (-115) | Chicago -4.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: New York +184 | Chicago -220
- Over/Under: Over 46.5 (-115) | Under 46.5 (-105)
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Giants vs Bears trend to know
The New York Giants have only won one of their last 10 away games (-9.60 Units / -81% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Giants vs. Bears.
How to watch Giants vs Bears
| Location | Soldier Field, Chicago, IL |
| Date | Sunday, November 9, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Giants vs Bears latest injuries
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