The Kansas City Chiefs welcome the Indianapolis Colts to Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday afternoon. The Colts have the top-rated offense in the NFL with Offensive Player of the Year favorite Jonathan Taylor leading the way.
My Colts vs. Chiefs predictions are betting on Taylor and this Indianapolis offense, along with Kansas City Pro Bowl tight end Travis Kelce.
Read more in my NFL picks for November 23.
Our best Colts vs Chiefs SGP for Week 12
The Indianapolis Colts lead the NFL in points per game (32.1) and have the highest-rated offense in both EPA/play and DVOA.
While the Kansas City Chiefs have a strong defense, they have flaws that Indy can exploit. K.C. is 23rd in the league in opponent third-down conversion rate while ranking 24th in defensive rush EPA.
That latter number is especially notable since Indy's attack is led by RB Jonathan Taylor, who has rushed for a league-high 1139 yards on 6.0 yards per carry. Taylor has rushed for more than 90.5 yards in six of his last nine games, while scoring 17 touchdowns in that span.
Indianapolis has gone Over its team total in 11 of its last 13 games and, with Taylor leading the way, should eclipse its team total of 23.5 on Sunday.
While the Colts should put up points, their defense has struggled to contain tight ends, allowing the second-most yards per game (72.6) to the position.
Travis Kelce has logged 54+ receiving yards in six-straight games, and last week he reeled in nine receptions for 91 yards against Denver's elite D.
Colts vs Chiefs SGP
- Colts team total Over 23.5
- Jonathan Taylor Over 90.5 receiving yards
- Jonathan Taylor anytime touchdown
- Travis Kelce Over 51.5 receiving yards
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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