Chiefs vs Cowboys Computer Picks: Our Best Week 13 Player Prop Projections

The middle portion of today's Thanksgiving three-peat features two teams trying to keep their seasons alive as the 6-5 Kansas City Chiefs visit the 5-5-1 Dallas Cowboys.

Our NFL player prop projections have picked out the best Thanksgiving Day props for this matchup, including both QBs lighting up their opponents.

Chiefs vs Cowboys computer picks for Thursday Night Football

Chiefs	Cowboys
Mahomes o266.5 pass -110	Prescott o255.5 pass -110
Pacheco o29.5 rush -110	Williams o8.5 rec +100
Rice o74.5 rec -110	Lamb o78.5 rec -110
Kelce u60.5 rec -110	Ferguson o34.5 rec -110

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Chiefs computer picks

Patrick Mahomes Over 266.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 287.8 yards

Mahomes has topped this total in six of his last eight games... and our projections expect him to post a big number again vs. Dallas' suspect pass defense.

Alternate-total bet
275+ yards (+105) - This prop shows very strong value.

Isiah Pacheco Over 29.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 35.4 yards

Pacheco has not played in a month, but he hit 30+ yards in each of his last six games before his injury.

Rashee Rice Over 74.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 86 yards

Rice has hit the 80-yard mark in three of his last four games — including 141 last week — and we're projecting him to finish in the 80s again today.

Alternate-total bet
80+ yards (+105) - Another strong value at this price.

Travis Kelce Under 60.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 50.5 yards

Our projections don't expect the future HoF TE to have a big game on Thanksgiving, forecasting him to finish below his posted total.

Cowboys computer picks

Dak Prescott Over 255.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 292.4 yards

Dak has hit 250 yards in eight of 11 games this year, and we're projecting him to go well beyond that number this afternoon.

Alternate-total bet
275+ yards (+145) - This number displays an incredible value.

Javonte Williams Over 8.5 receiving yards (+100)

Projection: 13.8 yards

We're projecting Williams to finish below his rushing total, but do like him to post double-digit receiving yards for the second straight game.

CeeDee Lamb Over 78.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 87.6 yards

After several uncharacteristic drops last week, we're expecting Lamb to bounce back with a big game and go Over his yardage total in the process.

Jake Ferguson Over 34.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 40.5 yards

We're projecting the reliable Dallas TE to again be involved in the offense, topping a receiving total that is below his per-game average this year.

Alternate-total bet
40+ yards (+120) - This prop shows a small amount of value.

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