Anytime Touchdown Scorer Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction: TD Picks for Thanksgiving Day Football Week 13

Find out why Neil Parker likes the price on Jake Ferguson to break the plane on Thanksgiving Day.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Nov 26, 2025 • 09:07 ET • 4 min read
Dallas Cowboys Jake Ferguson NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Dallas Cowboys tight end Jake Ferguson (87) carries the ball.

The Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys will take center stage at AT&T Stadium for the second of three standalone games on Thursday, November 27.

This is as close to a must-win game as there is at this stage of the season for both playoff-hopeful teams, and Rashee Rice and Jake Ferguson headline my top Chiefs vs. Cowboys anytime touchdown picks for the Thanksgiving showdown that should feature plenty of offensive fireworks.

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Chiefs anytime touchdown pick

Rashee Rice (-135 at bet365)

Kansas City Chiefs No. 1 wide receiver Rashee Rice has been held out of the end zone in consecutive weeks after scoring in each of his first three games following his return from a suspension in Week 7.

The opportunities have been there, though. Rice has racked up an impressive 14 receptions for 179 yards on 21 targets over the past two games, and seven of those targets have been red-zone looks.

Of course, the Dallas Cowboys have also surrendered a league-high 18 touchdowns and the second-highest yards per target to opposing wide receivers, so the matchup checks out.

Missouri Bankroll Giveaway

Cowboys anytime touchdown pick

Jake Ferguson (+210 at bet365)

Dallas tight end Jake Ferguson continues to be a consistent and reliable option for quarterback Dak Prescott, and especially near the goal line. Ferguson has found the end zone seven times across the past nine games while garnering 19 red-zone targets.

The fourth-year tight end has also been efficient during the stretch turning his 59 looks into 51 receptions for 359 yards.

Kansas City has also been vulnerable to the position the last three weeks and allowed an 84% catch rate for 10.1 yards per target and two touchdowns to opposing tight ends. So, with the Chiefs defense also needing to account for the Dallas one-two punch of CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens, Ferguson finding paydirt is a nice look at this price point.

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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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