Has the other shoe dropped for the Chicago Bears?
Chicago tumbled from No. 1 to No. 7 in the NFC pecking order with a loss at Green Bay on Sunday, but now gets to come home to host the Cleveland Browns in Week 15.
My early Browns vs. Bears predictions and NFL picks side with the home side in this December 14 clash.
Browns vs Bears predictions
Here are our early thoughts on the spread and total for this week’s game. We will have a full game preview (with a best bet and SGP) later in the week.
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Early Browns vs Bears spread pick: Bears -7.5
Some books opened on the high side of a touchdown with the Chicago Bears laying -7.5 in Week 15.
The industry consensus, however, is a touchdown, and we’re seeing most shops settle at Chicago -7. If you’re betting on the Bears, make sure you avoid that half-point hook at all costs.
Chicago’s incredible five-win run may be done, but the Bears have proven they can play with anyone, having beaten the Eagles and taken the Packers to the limit last weekend.
This offense averages more than 27 points per home game, and this is just Chicago’s second stop in Soldier Field since November 16. The big challenge for the Bears will be keeping QB Caleb Williams clean against the Browns' pass rush — more specifically, Myles Garrett.
Chicago does have one of the top-rated pass-blocking lines in the NFL. It allowed only one sack to the Packers' vaunted pass rush and ranks Top 3 in pass block win rate and pass block rating at PFF.
The Cleveland Browns come into Week 15 with some notable ailments on both sides of the ball. Standout corner Denzel Ward exited Sunday’s loss to Tennessee (calf), and TE David Njoku also got hurt (knee).
I do lean toward the home side, but want to make sure I’m getting Bears -7 or lower before pulling the trigger.
Early Browns vs Bears total pick: Under 40.5
This Over/Under opened at 40.5 and has ping-ponged between that number and 39.5 points in the first 12 hours of action. If you like the Under, get on the right side of the key number of 40 points.
The Browns' defense is missing pieces, with Ward injured and DT Maliek Collins out. Cleveland has given up some bigger scores since Week 8, but still sits in the Top 10 in EPA allowed per play and opponent success rate per snap.
As for the Browns' offense, I expect rookie QB Shedeur Sanders to come back to earth in this road start. He was able to overcome a horrible Raiders defense in his first pro outing, but the Bears' defense is a much more dangerous test.
Chicago’s stop unit was soft to start the schedule but has improved since Week 10, more specifically against the pass. The Bears run a high rate of man-to-man coverage and thrive on takeaways, with a league-high 18 interceptions.
Sanders has played three zone-heavy secondaries in Las Vegas, San Francisco, and Tennessee — three defenses that also sit 24th or worse in EPA allowed per dropback.
Sanders, whose completion rate dips below 42% vs. man coverage, will be forced to throw into tight windows against a ball-hawking secondary.
He'll also have to compete with real crowd noise from the Soldier Field faithful, which compounds injuries on the offensive line, including starting center Ethan Pocic.
Browns vs Bears odds
- Browns vs. Bears spread: Bears -7.5
- Browns vs. Bears moneyline: Browns +340, Bears -430
- Browns vs. Bears Over/Under: 40.5
How to watch Browns vs Bears
- Browns vs. Bears matchup
- Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025, 1:00 p.m. ET
- City: Chicago, IL
- Venue: Soldier Field
- TV: FOX
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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