The unbeaten Philadelphia Eagles are still grinding out wins rather than blowing teams away, but Jalen Hurts & Co. may have to dig a little deeper on Sunday against the Denver Broncos.
While Denver’s passing game cut through the overmatched Cincinnati Bengals on Monday, my Broncos vs Eagles player props put a bigger focus on the two rushing attacks here, headlined by a big day for Saquon Barkley.
Read on for the rest of my NFL picks ahead of this October 5 clash, and be sure to check out our full Broncos vs. Eagles predictions!
Broncos vs Eagles props
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Saquon Barkley |
Over 79.5 rushing yards | -114 |
 J.K. Dobbins |
Anytime touchdown | +170 |
| Bo Nix |
Under 214.5 passing yards | -114 |
Prop bet #1: Saquon Barkley Over 79.5 rushing yards
The Saquon Barkley rushing yards prop has come back to earth this year after the dizzy heights of last season, where the O/U was 122.5 for the NFC Championship Game and 111.5 for the Super Bowl.
It’s hard to argue with that adjustment as Barkley is averaging 3.3 YPC through four games, but the Eagles aren’t about to tinker with a winning formula.
Saquon has had 18+ carries in each contest this season, and I see him churning out enough yardage to cash this prop, with something similar to his 22/88/1 rushing line against the Chiefs in Week 2.
Perhaps the biggest difference in the opening month is Barkley hasn’t delivered a trademark home-run burst — he’s still looking for his first rush of 20+ yards.
However, the Eagles got good news on Lane Johnson’s shoulder injury, and his availability, plus another week for the offensive line to gel, should translate to more rushing lanes for Saquon here.
Last week’s “tush push” wrinkle was a hint Philadelphia knows more creativity is needed to free up Barkley, and I see that continuing this weekend.
Prop bet #2: J.K. Dobbins anytime touchdown
The Denver Broncos didn’t need to play their best cards to see off the Bengals on Monday night, but J.K. Dobbins still gashed the Cincinnati defense for 101 yards on 16 carries.
While it was his first game of the year without a touchdown, I’m wagering on him to find the end zone on Sunday.
The rushing yards O/U makes me nervous against a ferocious Philadelphia front seven, so the anytime TD at plus money feels like better value. Dobbins is the main man for Denver around the goal-line, and I trust Sean Payton to design the right plays to make those touches count.
The threat of Courtland Sutton down the field and Bo Nix as a scrambler should allow Dobbins to get some traction on the ground, and the Eagles gave up a pair of one-yard rushing TDs in Week 1.
I’m not ruling out a receiving touchdown for Dobbins, either, and that could be a weak spot for the visitors to exploit this weekend. In Philly’s last two games, the defense has coughed up scores through the air to RBs Bucky Irving and Kyren Williams.
Prop bet #3: Bo Nix Under 214.5 passing yards
Bo Nix cashed in against the woeful Bengals on Monday, but this Week 5 battle at Lincoln Financial Field is a different weight class, and I’m not ready to move past some of his early-season blunders yet.
Nix has fallen short of this passing yards total in three of his four outings this year, including just 153 yards against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 3.
His struggles against that smothering Chargers unit are relevant for Sunday, where Nix could find himself under regular pressure from the Philadelphia pass rush.
The Eagles have already held Dak Prescott, Patrick Mahomes, and Matthew Stafford under the 200-yard mark, and I’m questioning whether Nix will have enough time on his dropbacks to pick up chunk plays.
If he’s frequently flushed from the pocket or sped up by a collapsing pocket, it’s tough to see the Broncos generating enough offense to reach this passing yards number — and we know the hosts will be happy to reduce the number of possessions with clock-draining drives of their own.
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