A divisional showdown between the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers is a marquee matchup in Week 5, and I’ve got a trio of NFL picks ahead of the 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Lambeau Field on Sunday, Oct. 11.
Chicago and go-to receiver Rome Odunze are short road favorites, and the third-year wideout headlines my favorite Bears vs. Packers prop picks for this tilt.
Best Bears vs Packers props
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| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Rome Odunze 40+ receiving yards |
52% |
| Colston Loveland anytime touchdown |
28% |
 Christian Watson 60+ receiving yards |
53% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Prop pick #1: Rome Odunze 40+ receiving yards
Everything is trending up for Chicago Bears receiver Rome Odunze to start 2026.
Odunze's 73.7% catch rate, 16.6 yards per reception, and 15.5 aDoT are all career-high marks, and he’s recorded at least 40 receiving yards in all four games, including six catches for 94 yards last week in Tyson Bagent’s first 2026 start.
With the Green Bay Packers allowing the ninth-highest EPA per dropback and surrendering the fifth-highest catch rate to opposing wide receivers, this is also a favorable matchup for Odunze.
Prop pick #2: Colston Loveland anytime touchdown
Week 4 was the best of the season for Bears tight end Colston Loveland. He turned nine targets into six receptions for 57 yards, and I’m particularly encouraged by his three red-zone looks.
Loveland scored six times as a rookie and also found the end zone against the Packers last season while recording 196 receiving yards on 15 receptions across their three meetings.
This TD prop is playable to 34%.
Prop pick #3: Christian Watson 60+ receiving yards
Green Bay wide receiver Christian Watson has garnered a 21.3% target share through four games.
Jordan Love has a 126.5 NFL passer rating when targeting Watson, while the go-to receiver has piled up a monster 331 receiving yards through four contests.
Watson has also posted a career-high 2.43 yards per route run and 6.6 yards after the catch per reception.
- Prop picks: 14-3, +10.97 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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