A pair of 11-4 teams clash on Sunday Night Football this week as the San Francisco 49ers host the Chicago Bears.
This game has the second-highest total of the week at 52.5, and my Bears vs. 49ers predictions are backing both quarterbacks to air it out.
Here are my best NFL picks for December 28.
Our best Bears vs 49ers SGP for Week 17
Caleb Williams has thrown for more than 240 yards in back-to-back games, and his wide receiver corps gets a boost on Sunday with the return of Luther Burden III after a two-week absence.
Williams struggles under pressure but excels from a clean pocket, where he completes 66.2% of his passes for 7.6 yards per attempt with a passing grade of 80.0.
He should have plenty of time to throw against a San Francisco 49ers defense that ranks second-last in pressure rate and allowed a 55-year-old Philip Rivers to throw for 277 yards last week.
Meanwhile, Niners QB Brock Purdy has thrown for 295 yards in each of his last two games. He averages an impressive 8.14 adjusted yards-per-target while the Bears rank 30th in adjusted yards-per-target allowed (8.49).
The 49ers have home-field advantage, but the Bears have an extra day of rest and the superior defense. With this spread sitting at the key number of 3, I'll take Chicago with the points in this SGP.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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