The Atlanta Falcons are fresh off getting eliminated from playoff contention, and they'll look to play party pooper against the 7-6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Cousins x Mayfield isn't exactly an exciting QB matchup, but my Falcons vs. Buccaneers anytime touchdown picks have an idea on who's finding the end zone on Thursday Night Football.
For more NFL picks, check out our Falcons vs. Buccaneers predictions for December 11.
Falcons anytime touchdown pick
Bijan Robinson (-150 at bet365)
Tyler Shough scoring two touchdowns against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week would normally push me to take a QB scorer this time around, but not even a +2000 price tag is making me budge on the ghost of Kirk Cousins.
Instead, I'll try to take his old ass out of the equation as much as possible and pick Bijan Robinson, arguably the most wasted talent in the league.
Robinson has just seven touchdowns on the year, but he's by far the most skilled player the Atlanta Falcons have with Drake London out.
He didn't score a touchdown in Week 1 vs. Tampa, but caught six passes for 100 yards. Bijan is a true dual-threat RB who can burn the slunking Bucs in more ways than one.
We just witnessed Devin Neal put up 84 scrimmage yards and a TD of his own against Tampa, and I think Robinson is in for a field day.
The RB has had 20+ carries in three of the four games Kirk Cousins has taken the field, and that workload, paired with his pass-catching ability, is going to result in a score sooner than later.
I don't usually like taking a TD scorer at this price, but this Cousins-led offense has a horrid 44% RZ scoring rate in the three games he's started, and I'm running out of Falcons I can trust.
Buccaneers anytime touchdown pick
Emeka Egbuka (+140 at bet365)
Last week, Emeka Egbuka dropped what might of been the easiest touchdown he's going to see in his pro career. He's skilled enough to get that opening again vs. this leaky Atlanta secondary, and this time, he won't mess it up.
Egbuka started the season on a torrid pace, but he hasn't found paydirt in four-straight outings. That coincides with the Bucs' recent offensive slump, scoring 20 or less in three straight.
One of the glaring issues in that three-game skid is their 36.9% third-down conversion rate. Tampa can't sustain drives, and the offense is hurting because of it.
That said, Atlanta gives up a third-down conversion rate of nearly 40%, putting it in the bottom half of the league. I think we'll see the Bucs' offense have more time on the field in Week 15, and with their playoff position hanging on by a thread, Baker will look to his favorite target.
Jaxon-Smith Njigba just torched this Falcons' secondary to the tune of 7/92/2, and we'll see a similar performance from another Buckeyes standout on TNF.
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