Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bengals vs Broncos Prediction: TD Picks for Monday Night Football Week 4

Ja'Marr Chase has let fantasy owners down up to this point, but he'll give them something to cheer about on MNF.

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Sep 29, 2025 • 09:59 ET • 4 min read
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase (1) celebrates after breaking away for a long run on a reception.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase (1) celebrates after breaking away for a long run on a reception.

We’ve got two games on Monday in Week 4, including the Cincinnati Bengals vs. the Denver Broncos.

There will be scoring in this tilt, and my Bengals vs. Broncos touchdown picks tell you who will be finding paydirt on Monday, September 29.

Bengals anytime touchdown pick

Ja'Marr Chase (+200 at bet365)

It’s not very often you can find odds on Ja’Marr Chase scoring as big as they are here, and I'll tell you why.

The 25-year-old has scored just one touchdown this season, against the Jaguars in Week 2. That was his only game with more than six targets, and there are concerns he’s not getting enough looks.

I expect that to be corrected vs. Denver. This is a player who scored 17 touchdowns last season, and he's truly one of the elite wide receivers in the league.

The other concern around Chase is he’s no longer got Joe Burrow throwing the football, with Jake Browning the QB1 in town since Burrow’s toe injury.

As much as Browning is far worse at quarterback than Burrow, he does still air the ball out a lot. In 1.5 games of action, he’s had 59 passing attempts and thrown three touchdown passes.

While there are question marks about his quality and how that impacts Chase, there shouldn’t be any doubts around opportunity for the former LSU wideout. 

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Broncos anytime touchdown pick

J.K. Dobbins (-125 at bet365)

When we’re focusing on taking on the Bengals, we have to talk about the ground game, and, notably, they’ve allowed five touchdowns to running backs through three games.

Three of those TDs came on the ground, with the other two being part of the passing game, which makes J.K. Dobbins' pass-catching abilities attractive here.

Dobbins has been hugely successful in Denver this season and he’s effectively owned the backfield, something that wasn’t expected before the first kickoff.

Dobbins had 11 carries to rookie RJ Harvey’s two last week. Volume is opportunity, and Dobbins has had 41 carries through three weeks, has averaged 5.4 yards per carry, and has found the end zone in every single game.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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