UTEP vs Boise State Picks and Predictions: Disappointing UCF Loss Will Fuel Broncos In Week 2

Boise State's offense looked good in Week 1 but it still choked away a 17-point lead in a disappointing loss to UCF. The Broncos will try to take out their frustration against UTEP as almost four-touchdown favorites — and we think they'll do just that.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Sep 8, 2021 • 07:19 ET • 4 min read
Hank Bachmeier Boise State Broncos college football
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It looked like the Boise State Broncos were sitting pretty. Not only were they thumping the UCF Knights in their season opener — but were also making a statement about who the top Group of Five team was in college football.

Then Dillon Gabriel and the second half happened, and the Broncos choked away the game. Are the Broncos capable of bouncing back and covering a big college football betting spread against the UTEP Miners... Or are they in for another letdown?

Find out with our free college football betting picks and predictions for UTEP vs. Boise State on Friday, September 10.

UTEP vs Boise State odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Boise State opened this matchup as 27-point home favorites and has been quickly bet down to -26, while the total hit the board at 55 and has already been bet up two points to 57. Follow the live widget above to track the rest of the odds moves up until kickoff, plus be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets and view the full line movement for this game.

UTEP vs Boise State picks

Picks made on 9/7/2021 at 11:07 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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UTEP vs Boise State game info

Location: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Date: Friday, September 10, 2021
Time: 9:30 p.m. ET

UTEP vs Boise State betting preview


Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key injuries

UTEP: Kelton Moss DT (Questionable), Deion Hankins RB (Out).
Boise State: No key injuries to report.
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting trend to know

UTEP is 1-5 ATS in its last six games against Mountain West opponents. Find more NCAA betting trends for UTEP vs. Boise State.

UTEP vs Boise State predictions

Boise State was leading UCF 24-7 before the Knights scored a touchdown to close the first half, making it 24-14. The Dillon Gabriel and UCF poured it on in the second half on their way to a 36-31 victory as 5.5-point favorites. 

The positive takeaways in that game for the Broncos? Quarterback Hank Bachmeier and wide receiver Khalil Shakir had some awesome chemistry, connecting on five passes for 95 yards and two touchdowns — but the run game and defense struggled. 

Meanwhile, UTEP is not in a position it is used to — winning football games. Although playing New Mexico State and FCS Bethune Cookman certainly helps, the Miners have rushed for over 200 yards in each of their first two games. 

The Broncos gave up 573 yards of offense in their opener and while the Miners have had some offensive success so far this season, they are nowhere near as talented as the Knights. The wins are good for the UTEP program but they are walking into a tough situation here.

Boise State will come into this game knowing it let a big win slip away and will aim to take its frustration out on the Miners.  Plus, the Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games at Albertsons Stadium and are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games when laying 20 points or more.

Boise State came out flying against UCF, putting up 24 first-half points, and there is no reason to think they can’t do the same here. Bachmeier set the tone early for the Broncos, picking the Knights apart in the intermediate passing game.

You also know the Broncos will want to get the run game going after their backfield totaled just 46 yards on the ground last week. That’s in part to starter George Holani being a last-minute scratch before last week’s game. If healthy, Boise will get back a player who has averaged 5.3 yards per carry in his career.

If the Broncos can have a balanced attack, they will be tough to slow down and should get out to a fast start against a UTEP team that hasn’t faced any real sort of competition yet.

NCAA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our UTEP vs. Boise State picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college football parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college football odds?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NCAA moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of college football prop odds. Head over to our best football betting sites for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

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