Looking for college football player props in Week 9? You’re in the right spot, as we have you covered with three plays for the afternoon slate of games.
Why do receivers Griffin Wilde and Ryan Williams look like strong plays, and what’s the right prop to target for quarterback Jalon Daniels?
My player props and college football picks for Saturday, October 25, answer those questions.
Best college football player props for Week 9
Player | Pick | |
---|---|---|
Over 51.5 receiving yards | -114 | |
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Over 24.5 rushing yards | -114 |
Over 58.5 receiving yards | -114 |
Prop bet #1: Griffin Wilde Over 51.5 receiving yards
South Dakota State transfer Griffin Wilde has taken over the receiving room for the Northwestern Wildcats, pacing the team by a wide margin in every statistical category. Through seven games, he’s accumulated 36 receptions for 516 yards and four touchdowns.
Wilde’s sheer volume makes him an appealing option in the props market. He’s seen 51 targets, which is nearly triple that of any other Northwestern pass catcher. It’s led to consistency, as he’s gone for 55+ yards in five of his last six games, “bottoming out” with 47 yards.
He’s a talented player, too, averaging 2.9 yards per route run. Combining volume with efficiency is a good way to be a productive player, and Wilde has that covered.
He was one of the FCS’s best wideouts last year, posting 1,154 yards and 12 touchdowns for a 12-3 team. There’s a track record of success, so I’m buying Wilde’s breakout and will bet on him producing in Week 9, just as he normally does.
- Matchup: Northwestern vs. Nebraska
- Date/Time: Saturday, October 25 at 12:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, NE
- TV: FS1
Prop bet #2: Jalon Daniels Over 24.5 rushing yards
The Sunflower Showdown could see plenty of points, and the current total of 56.5 at FanDuel reflects that. Both teams have capable offenses, and there are question marks about both defenses.
Kansas Jayhawks quarterback Jalon Daniels is refreshed after a bye week and has a rushing yardage prop of 24.5, which is too low. He was averaging 33.5 rushing yards per game before getting pummeled by Texas Tech’s elite defensive line for -40 rushing yards, which creates a deflated number in Week 9.
There’s no carryover from Texas Tech’s defense to that of the Kansas State Wildcats. Chris Klieman’s squad has surrendered at least 6.5 yards per play in each of its last three games. Most importantly for this handicap, the Wildcats don’t have much of a pass rush (105th in pass rush grade per PFF) and therefore don’t pose a big threat of racking up negative sack yardage.
Daniels went Over this number in five of his six contests before the Texas Tech game, which is an anomaly of a matchup. This is a massive game against an in-state rival, so the staff shouldn’t shy away from riding Daniels in the running game.
- Matchup: Kansas State vs. Kansas
- Date/Time: Saturday, October 25 at 12:00 p.m. ET
- Location: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, KS
- TV: TNT
Prop bet #3: Ryan Williams Over 58.5 receiving yards
There were concerns about Ryan Williams’ health after he was a non-factor in the Missouri game (zero receptions) and then missed practice leading up to the Tennessee game, but the star wideout erased all concerns by catching five passes for 87 yards and looking like his normal self against the Vols.
Week 9 brings a matchup with the South Carolina Gamecocks, who have struggled in coverage (61st in EPA per pass, 104th in passing success rate). Williams averaged 67.8 receiving yards per game in his young career and is only improving, so his yardage prop should not be this low in a favorable matchup.
He’s crushing with efficiency this season, averaging 2.9 yards per route run. The Alabama Crimson Tide offense is firing on all cylinders, so they should find success in Week 9 with Williams being a large part of the equation.
- Matchup: Alabama vs. South Carolina
- Date/Time: Saturday, October 25 at 3:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC
- TV: ABC
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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