Oregon vs Indiana Best Bets, Predictions & Picks for Today, January 9

Revenge is on the line at the Peach Bowl as Oregon faces Fernando Mendoza and Indiana in an all–Big Ten Playoff Semifinal, and we’re breaking down the best bets for the matchup.

Aisha Quiñones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Aisha Quiñones • Betting Analyst
Jan 9, 2026 • 14:00 ET • 4 min read
Dierre Hill Jr. Oregon Ducks NCAAF
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Oregon Ducks running back Dierre Hill Jr. (23) runs with the ball during the second half.

The Peach Bowl sets the stage for an all–Big Ten Playoff Semifinal, as Heisman winner Fernando Mendoza and No. 1 Indiana battle Dante Moore and Oregon with a trip to the National Championship at stake.

The Hoosiers already have the edge from their dramatic October win in Eugene. As the Ducks look to get even, we get into our Oregon vs. Indiana predictions before kickoff at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, January 9.

Oregon vs Indiana Peach Bowl predictions

Player FanDuel
Indiana Indiana -3.5 -110
Oregon/Indiana Over 48.5 -110
Indiana Mendoza o208.5 passing yards -114
Oregon Hill Jr. anytime touchdown +175

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Oregon vs Indiana best bets

Indiana Indiana -3.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

Back in October, Indiana prevailed in Eugene 30–20 as 6.5-point underdogs, buoyed by two interceptions from Dante Moore.

With the Hoosiers listed as 3.5-point favorites this time around, the swing in the line is warranted. Indiana is talented, well-coached, and operating at another level after making Alabama look like a G5 team.

Oregon running back Jordon Davison being ruled out is also a major blow; he made up one-half of the Ducks’ potent rushing attack. Expect Indiana to force Moore into a critical mistake, cover the spread, and continue this epic run.

Oregon/IndianaOver 48.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

Even without Jordon Davison, Oregon still boasts a talented offense. Dante Moore has improved as the season has progressed, and he now has a mostly healthy offensive line and wide receiver room.

Combine that with Indiana’s elite offense, and these Big Ten heavyweights should push the Fiesta Bowl past this number.

Oregon vs Indiana TD pick

Oregon Dierre Hill Jr. anytime TD (+175 at FanDuel)

Jordan Davison will miss the Peach Bowl after breaking his clavicle in the College Football Playoff quarterfinals. Oregon's best running back leads the Ducks in touchdowns with 15, and he has been their leading rusher in both Playoff wins.

Oregon should turn to veteran Noah Whittington as much as freshman Dierre Hill Jr., but it is the latter who represents more versatile possibilities. Hill is used a bit more in the passing game, has a greater big-play likelihood, and has been called upon more often as the season has progressed.

Hill has averaged 6.8 carries per game in the last five games, compared to 4.3 in the Ducks’ first six games against Power Four competition. Without Davison, Hill should see a career high in work on Friday night, perhaps as many as 15 carries.

That kind of workload highlights the value in this market at +175.

Oregon vs Indiana prop pick

Indiana Fernando Mendoza Over 208.5 passing yards (-114 at FanDuel)

The Heisman winner has fallen short of this prop twice in his last three games and six times in 14 games this season. Then again, those two times in the last three games were both laughable routs, and the closest game in which Mendoza fell short of this prop was the 27-14 season opener against Old Dominion.

Mendoza topped this prop against Iowa, Oregon, Penn State, and Ohio State, averaging 222 passing yards in those four games against quality defenses.

If the Ducks keep Dante Moore upright, this game should be close enough to allow Mendoza to flex his muscles a bit.

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Oregon vs Indiana odds

Oregon vs Indiana game info

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Date: Friday, January 9, 2026
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Oregon vs Indiana latest injuries

Oregon vs Indiana weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Aisha Quiñones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Hailing from Harlem, New York, Aisha Quiñones joined Covers in 2024 after an illustrious career with several other major media outlets. A proud Johnnie, after graduating from the Big East basketball powerhouse St. John's University, Quiñones earned her bachelor's degree in sport management and journalism, then obtained her master's degree in media studies from The New School.

Over a span of 12+ years, Quiñones has built her portfolio as a writer, dipped her toe into on-camera work, and also been behind the scenes in producing sports content.

Despite being a New Yorker, Quiñones has always been a lifelong Los Angeles Lakers fan thanks to her mom's joy of watching Kobe Bryant play — so much of a fan to the point that Quiñones named her toy poodle after the late-great legend.

Her hometown roots stay true to her MLB and WNBA choice in teams, as a Yankees and Liberty fan, due to her uncle and grandmother's love for the sports throughout her childhood.

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