College Football Moneyline Picks for Week 7

Florida pulled off an upset over Texas last week, and our college football moneyline picks for Week 7 are going back to the well and taking the Gators to knock off Texas A&M.

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst
Oct 8, 2025 • 09:30 ET • 4 min read
Jadan Baugh Florida Gators NCAAF
Photo By - Imagn Images. Jadan Baugh of the Florida Gators in NCAAF action.

What are the top college football games in Week 7, and which side of the moneyline should you play for each of them?

We’ve got you covered with picks for each of the top games of the week, whether you’re looking to throw together parlays, are playing them straight, or are simply curious about the outcome of the top games.

Read on for my moneyline plays and college football picks for Week 7.

Week 7 college football moneyline picks

Matchup Pick
South Florida South Florida vs North Texas North Texas South Florida -116
Ohio State Ohio State vs Illinois Illinois Ohio State -690
Alabama Alabama vs Missouri Missouri Alabama -156
Oklahoma Oklahoma vs Texas Texas Texas -113
Indiana Indiana vs Oregon Oregon Oregon -315
Florida Florida vs Texas A&M Texas A&M Florida +220
Georgia Georgia vs Auburn Auburn Georgia -166
Michigan Michigan vs USC USC Michigan +112

Lines courtesy of FanDuel as of 10-8.

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South Florida vs North Texas: South Florida (-116)

The action begins in earnest with a tantalizing matchup between two of the AAC’s top teams. No. 24 South Florida is the far more battle-tested squad and will be able to rely on its tough defensive front seven (11th in stuff rate) on the road. Quarterback Byrum Brown is a star. 

Ohio State vs Illinois: Ohio State (-690)

No. 17 Illinois cannot be trusted against quality competition after the Indiana debacle (63-10 loss) earlier this season. No. 1 Ohio State has been a Top 5 unit on both offense (third in success rate) and defense (third in EPA per play), looking like a wagon in 2025. 

Alabama vs Missouri: Alabama (-156)

No. 8 Alabama is one of the hottest teams in the country, outscoring opponents 165-49 since the Florida State humbling. No. 14 Missouri is no joke at 5-0, but that’s more of a result of their schedule than anything else.

The Tide have covered the spread in four consecutive games, whereas Missouri is 7-14 straight-up against ranked opponents under Eli Drinkwitz.

Oklahoma vs Texas: Texas (-113)

Either John Mateer won’t play and No. 6 Oklahoma stands little chance of moving the ball consistently against a fearsome Texas defense, or he will play and will be at less than 100% for a difficult matchup.

Texas still needs to find itself offensively, but the defense should show out in a favorable matchup. Texas is 10-6 against ranked opponents since 2023. 


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Indiana vs Oregon: Oregon (-315)

No. 3 Oregon gets the nod here as a battle-tested team that will be playing at home. No. 7 Indiana has struggled when facing elite athletes, and there are concerns about how its simplistic RPO scheme will work when there isn’t a talent advantage.

The Hoosiers were uncompetitive when stepping up in class last year, falling 38-15 to Ohio State and 27-17 to Notre Dame.

Florida vs Texas A&M: Florida (+220)

Can Florida do it again? If the offense has truly found itself, then of course.

The Gators averaged 7.0 yards per play against a tough Texas defense last week and can pair that with a stingy defense to make some noise in the back half of the schedule.

Georgia vs Auburn: Georgia (-166)

No. 10 Georgia has won eight straight in this series, so the Bulldogs get the slight edge despite this being a less-than-ideal stylistic matchup. Auburn hasn’t been trustworthy through the air on either side of the ball, and the Bulldogs’ tough defensive front seven (fifth in EPA per rush) should make the difference. 

Michigan vs USC: Michigan (+112)

No. 15 Michigan possesses the superior defense, and the offense has been no slouch by averaging at least 7.0 yards per play in three consecutive games. USC is just 4-11 against ranked teams under Lincoln Riley, and the defense is still shaky (72nd in success rate). 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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