The No. 10 seed Miami Hurricanes arrive in the CFP in controversial fashion to face the No. 7 seed Texas A&M Aggies.
The Hurricanes bring an elite defensive front to College Station — making them a live underdog — which is why my early Miami vs. Texas A&M predictions side with them.
Find out more in my college football picks for December 20.
Miami vs Texas A&M predictions
Here are our early thoughts on the spread and total for this week’s game. We will have a full game preview (with a best bet and SGP) later in the week.
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Early Miami vs Texas A&M spread pick: Miami +3.5
The Texas A&M Aggies are solid on both sides of the ball and have an 11-1 record. The natural assumption from these data points is this team is a national championship contender, but there certainly are more reservations than meet the eye at first.
The win over Notre Dame (the third-highest power-rated team in the country) was impressive, but what else is there to speak of? The 38-17 win over Missouri stands out, but the Tigers had a third-string, true freshman quarterback.
A 24-point win over LSU also stands out, but the Tigers fired their coach and lost four of their last six games. How about a three-point win over Arkansas?
A 31-30 win over South Carolina when they trailed 30-3 at half? Surrendering 6.0 yards per play to a bad Texas offense in a loss?
There are more holes than initially meet the eye, and the Miami Hurricanes are good enough to capitalize. They rank 13th in success rate on offense and 11th on defense, and have a star-studded defensive line led by Reuben Bain and Akheem Mesidor that provides a high floor for keeping this game within reach.
Early Miami vs Texas A&M total pick: Over 50.5
Texas A&M’s defense has a propensity for allowing big plays, ranking 135th (yes, second-to-last!) in explosiveness. It’s a glaring issue that has been overlooked this season, but will come back to bite them now that it’s the playoffs and teams are good enough to make them pay consistently.
Miami checks in at sixth in EPA per pass and should be able to move the rock through the air while finding some chunk plays on the ground against a defense ranked 105th in EPA per rush allowed.
A&M presents issues on the defense line, especially with game-wrecker Cashius Howell (14 TFLs, 11.5 sacks). Miami is uniquely positioned to offset this concern thanks to an elite offensive line ranked second in limiting front-seven havoc. PFF grades the Hurricanes as the second-best pass-blocking team in the country.
On the flip side, Miami’s defensive front should keep A&M from lighting up the scoreboard. The thing is, though, A&M also has an elite offensive line, which should provide Marcel Reed with enough time at points to contribute in the scoring category.
Miami vs Texas A&M odds
- Miami vs. Texas A&M spread: Texas A&M -3.5
- Miami vs. Texas A&M moneyline: Miami +146, Texas A&M -178
- Miami vs. Texas A&M Over/Under: 50.5
How to watch Miami vs Texas A&M
- Miami vs. Texas A&M matchup
- Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025, 12:00 p.m. ET
- City: College Station, TX
- Venue: Kyle Field
- TV: ABC & ESPN
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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