Houston vs Oklahoma State Prediction, Picks & Odds for October 11 — College Football Week 7

Rosales' prediction: If Conner Weigman takes the field, Houston is set to deepen Oklahoma State's struggles with another lopsided win.

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Oct 9, 2025 • 11:47 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 39 hrs
OKST
32 %
HOU
68 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Houston -14.5 (-110) Houston -14.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Conner Weigman Houston Cougars NCAAF
Photo By - Imagn Images. Houston Cougars quarterback Conner Weigman (1) drops back to pass.

After suffering their first loss of the season, the Houston Cougars will look to work their way back into the win column when they visit the Oklahoma State Cowboys.

It’s been a nightmare season for the Cowboys, who have already fired their head coach and the losing continues, as they’ve dropped four in a row.

Check out my Houston vs. Oklahoma State predictions on what wager I like best, and all our college football picks for this Big 12 tilt on Saturday, October 11.

Want to make sure Covers shows up often in your Google search results and Discover feed?
Simply click here and add Covers as one of your "source preferences".

Houston vs Oklahoma State prediction

Houston vs Oklahoma State best bet: Houston -14.5 (-110)

Normally, I’d steer clear of a spread that big, but there’s no redeeming qualities coming out of this Oklahoma State team.

They have been crushed in back-to-back losses to Baylor (45-27) and last week to Arizona (41-13). In their four straight losses, only Tulsa failed to blow them out, winning 19-12.

They’re also down quarterback Zane Flores, who hurt his shoulder in the loss to Arizona.

That leaves them with freshman Banks Bowen, and Sam Jackson, who had converted to wide receiver last year while at Auburn. He replaced Flores against Arizona and threw for 27 yards on 3-for-6 passing.

Houston’s pivot problem is more encouraging, as Conner Weigman went into concussion protocol after leaving their 35-11 loss to Texas Tech in the second quarter.

After building a solid 4-0 mark, Weigman’s injury derailed the Cougars’ litmus test against its first ranked opponent on the year. He had thrown for 93 yards and a score before leaving the game, and Houston didn’t score another point.

Assuming he does play, he’ll lead a Houston Cougars offense averaging 27.2 points per game. Oklahoma State is averaging a paltry 16.4 points per contest, and their defense is 130th or worse in total yards and passing yards per game, while ranking 112th against the rush, at 179.4 per contest.

Houston vs Oklahoma State same-game parlay

During this current four-game losing slide, Oklahoma State has trailed by at least seven points in three of them. The only game they came out even was against Baylor, tied 7-7 after the first 15 minutes.

In Houston’s four wins, they came out of the opening quarter with at least a seven-point lead twice, and in a scoreless draw in another.

They should be in position to get ahead in this one on Saturday.

Houston vs Oklahoma State SGP

  • Houston -14.5
  • Under 46.5
  • Houston -3.5 first quarter spread

Houston vs Oklahoma State odds

  • Spread: Houston -14.5 (-110) | Oklahoma State +14.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Houston -620 | Oklahoma State +460
  • Over/Under: Over 46.5 (-115) | Under 46.5 (-105)

Houston vs Oklahoma State trend to know

Oklahoma State has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games. Find more college football betting trends for Houston vs Oklahoma State.

How to watch Houston vs Oklahoma State

Location Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK
Date Saturday, October 11, 2025
Kickoff 12:00 p.m. ET
TV TNT

Houston vs Oklahoma State latest injuries

Houston vs Oklahoma State weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo