There’s a marquee matchup in the Big 12 this weekend as two top 10 teams, the No. 7 BYU Cougars and No. 8 Texas Tech Red Raiders, square off in Lubbock.
How will BYU fare against an elite Texas Tech defense? Will Behren Morton and the Tech passing attack find room to work?
I answer those questions with my BYU vs. Texas Tech player props and college football picks for Saturday, November 8.
BYU vs Texas Tech props for Week 11
| Player | Pick | |
|---|---|---|
| Under 38.5 rushing yards | -114 | |
| Over 59.5 receiving yards | -114 | |
Behren Morton |
Over 256.5 passing yards | -114 |
Bear Bachmeier Under 38.5 rushing yards
True freshman quarterback Bear Bachmeier has been a wonderful story in Provo, leading the BYU Cougars to an 8-0 record. It’s been a surprise to many after returning starter Jake Retzlaff parted ways with the team late in the offseason, leading Bachmeier to transfer in from Stanford.
As fun as it’s been for the first-year signal caller, I hate to say I’m bearish (wink) on his chances in Week 11. The Texas Tech Red Raiders have a fearsome defense, allowing only 271.3 total yards per game.
They are particularly nasty up front (third in havoc), which is typically a death knell for opposing quarterback rushing yardage props. Tech surrenders just 74.6 rushing yards per game on 2.4 yards per carry while ranking first in PFF’s rush defense grade and second in tackling grade.
The Bachmeier story has been fun, but let’s admit that his 408 rushing yards and nine rushing scores have mostly been accumulated against subpar defenses.
This is a very difficult matchup, on the road for a true freshman nonetheless, and any sack yardage by this disruptive front seven will count as negative rushing yardage for Bear.
Chase Roberts Over 59.5 receiving yards
If BYU isn’t going to find it easygoing on the ground, that will force the offense to take to the air. That’s the game script that the bookmakers envision — BYU is currently a 10.5-point underdog at FanDuel Sportsbook, so the Cougars will likely be playing from behind.
The passing attack has funneled targets mainly to two wideouts, Chase Roberts and Parker Kingston. The latter has been on a heater lately, but it’s the former who has a longer track record of success.
Roberts racked up 840 receiving yards a year ago on 2.63 yards per route run. He’s back to his usual exploits in 2025, posting 591 receiving yards and 2.74 yards per route run.
The veteran sees a steady dose of volume with at least six targets in six of his last seven games, so both efficiency and volume should be in hand.
Behren Morton Over 256.5 passing yards
Let’s keep things simple here when handicapping the Texas Tech offense. The Red Raiders have thrown for at least 280 yards in five of the six games in which Behren Morton has started healthy and played the majority of the game.
Therefore, I expect that Morton will eclipse his passing yardage prop of 256.5 on Saturday.
The Tech offense has been a thing of beauty, averaging 492.3 total yards on 6.7 yards per play. Joey McGuire’s squad prefers to keep the ball in the air (52.2% pass rate), leading to 294.4 passing yards per game.
There are too many quality wideouts to cover, as Caleb Douglas, Reggie Virgil, and Coy Eakin all have over 430 receiving yards. Tight end Terrance Carter (378) and running back J’Koby Williams (300) are also threats in their own right.
College teams don’t typically bring this many caliber options to the table, hence why opposing defenses have nearly always gotten burned.
BYU has a quality defense, but the Cougars have played a poor level of competition. The secondary was beaten at times by Iowa State (311 passing yards) last week, and this will be by far their most difficult test of the season to date.
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