Alabama and Georgia will square off for the second time this season. This time, the College Football National Championship is on the line.
Want to bet the game but not feeling the side or total? Just looking to get some more action down on the biggest game of the year?
We’ve combed through all the offerings across various sportsbooks and have identified our favorite Alabama vs Georgia prop picks for the CFP Championship.
Alabama vs Georgia prop picks
- Cook Over 19.5 receiving yards (-115)
- Young Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (+142)
- Burton first touchdown (+2,000)
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Alabama vs Georgia CFP Championship props
Cooking the Coverage
You may have heard of James Cook’s brother, Dalvin. James isn’t too shabby of a running back either and has recently established himself as the most dangerous weapon in this loaded Georgia backfield. To avoid a repeat of the first matchup, look for the Bulldogs to feed Cook as their backfield leader, and not just on the ground.
Cook is most dangerous when he’s running routes. Whether it be out of the backfield or lined up wide, Cook simply can’t be covered by linebackers and has exposed his fair share of DBs as well.
Another reason that we like this prop is it’s somewhat game script-proof. One worry in loading up on props for a big game is that bettors too often correlate props to one game script. If that game script gets thrown off, then so do all the prop bets. We see Cook hitting this Over regardless of who raises the trophy at the end of the night. This is a low number and Cook can clear this bar with one large reception on a mismatch or by accumulating a few short catches throughout the game.
Cook had four catches for 112 yards and a touchdown in the semifinal against Michigan. He also proved dangerous in the first matchup against Alabama, mustering four catches for 28 yards. We see him hitting the Over yet again.
PICK: James Cook Over 19.5 receiving yards (-115 at bet365)
Generous Odds for the Heisman Winner
These odds are simply disrespectful. Getting +142 odds for the Heisman Trophy winner to toss three touchdowns in the biggest game of the season? Sign me up.
Young has repeatedly passed this barrier, tossing at least 3 touchdowns in 10 of his 14 games this season. If there’s an exploitable part of this vaunted Georgia defense, it’s in the secondary. Young did so in the SEC Championship game, tossing for 421 yards and three scores.
He played nearly a perfect game in the first matchup and it’s unlikely he puts up quite the same numbers a second time around, especially without receiver John Metchie. That being said, we could only listen to an argument for the other side of this bet if the odds were around even. We’re getting nice plus odds on a prop that Young has cashed over 70% of the time this season, so we’d be remiss to let this one slide.
PICK: Bryce Young Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (+142 at FanDuel)
Longshot First Touchdown Scorer
How about a long shot to cap off the article? There’s nothing like cashing a plus-odds ticket to start the game, especially one with long odds. We didn’t see any value with the favorites to score the first touchdown, as many are listed near even odds — far from the true likelihood of occurrence. Therefore, we’re taking a chance further down the table.
One key factor in handicapping this matchup is that Alabama is expected to be very thin at the cornerback position. Josh Jobe is done for the year and Jalyn Armour-Davis has a bad hip, so the Crimson Tide will likely be down both their starters at the position.
Burton has dealt with injuries on and off throughout the season, but he’s a dangerous weapon who managed 469 yards and five scores as a true freshman in the SEC last season. He flashed last week with a 57-yard touchdown against Michigan and possesses the deep threat ability to take advantage of a thinned-out Alabama secondary. It’s a longshot for a reason, but Burton specializes in long shots and the odds aren’t accounting for the Tide’s injuries at corner.
PICK: Jermaine Burton to score the first touchdown (+2,000 at DraftKings)
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