Temple vs Memphis Picks and Predictions: Tiger Turnovers Help Bury Their Spread

With two inconsistent and contrasting teams facing off in AAC action tonight, there are plenty of possibilities. Our Temple vs. Memphis picks think the underdogs can hang around in this one — find out why.

Last Updated: Feb 24, 2022 9:55 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Damian Dunn Temple Owls college basketball
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Tonight, there’s only one American Athletic Conference game on the slate. The Memphis Tigers will welcome the Temple Owls to FedExForum in a game that could decide third place in the conference. 

Temple has won two straight games over SMU and Cincinnati and is currently 8-5 in conference play. Meanwhile, Memphis watched a six-game winning streak get washed away after a brutal 73-57 loss to SMU on Sunday.

Can Memphis get back on track, at home? Here are our college basketball picks and predictions for Temple vs. Memphis on Thursday, February 24. 

Temple vs Memphis odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

Memphis opened as a 12-point favorite and has now dropped to -11 at a couple of outlets. However, the total has seen more drastic line movement since opening at 139.5. Every sportsbook is now holding a 137.5 number. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

Temple vs Memphis predictions

Predictions made on 2/24/2022 at 8:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Temple vs Memphis game info

Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Date: Thursday, February 24, 2022
Tip-off: 7:00 p.m. ET

Temple at Memphis betting preview


Temple: Jeremiah Williams G (Questionable), Quincy Ademokoya G (Out), Jake Forrester F (Out), Khalif Battle G (Out).
Memphis: Landers Nolley II G (Questionable), Earl Timberlake G (Questionable), Emoni Bates F (Out).

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Owls are 7-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. Find more NCAA betting trends for Temple vs. Memphis.

Temple vs Memphis picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

Both of these AAC teams have been extremely inconsistent this year. 

Temple isn’t a major threat on offense. The Owls only shoot a 45.8% effective field goal percentage while knocking down just 30.3% of threes and 46% of twos. However, Temple makes its presence known on the offensive glass, earning 32.4% of offensive rebounds. The Owls also get to the line at a high rate and stay aggressive on the offensive end. 

So, while the offense has struggled from the field, the Owls will earn second chances and find ways to get to the foul line. But still, even when Temple does get to the line, the Owls are shooting just 67.5% from the charity stripe. 

On the other hand, Memphis is the complete opposite on the defensive end, which makes for an interesting matchup. Memphis has held opponents to a 46.6% effective field goal percentage and teams are only hitting 32.8% from deep and 44.6% from inside the arc. 

However, opponents have grabbed 31.8% offensive rebounds against Memphis and it continues to foul at a high rate.  

What you see is what you get with these teams. Temple isn’t going to shoot well but the Owls will do the little things to stick around as much as they can on the road. 

On the other hand, Memphis has just been careless with the ball on the offensive end. The Tigers are turning the ball over 23.1% of the time. That’s just unacceptable. Meanwhile, Temple only averages 17% turnovers.

The Tigers are certainly the better offense, shooting an effective field goal percentage of 52.9% while knocking down over 35% from long range and 52.5% from inside the arc. On the offensive glass, Memphis earns 36.8% of offensive rebounds and outshines Temple in that area. 

However, Temple has been solid defensively, holding opponents to a 44.9% effective field goal percentage this year. Therefore, if Temple can stick to its averages on both ends of the floor, the Owls should be able to cover the double-digit spread. 

Prediction: Temple +11.5 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

I know both of these defenses are extremely good. However, Temple and Memphis will both earn plenty of second chances with high offensive rebounding rates. 

Both teams will also get to the foul line at a high rate and Memphis is still very capable of having a good night shooting the basketball, especially at home. 

The Tigers move quickly on offense and opposing teams try to do so against Memphis as well. So, let’s take the Over 137.5.

Prediction: Over 137.5 (-110)

Best bet

Temple is starting to get a little hot. Despite not having the best offensive numbers this season, the Owls are 15-9 and 8-5 in conference play. The offense scored 75 against a quality Cincinnati defense and found a way to get past SMU at home, winning 64-57 in that one.

I’ll ride Temple and the 11.5 points!

Pick: Temple +11.5 (-110)

College basketball parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Temple vs. Memphis picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college basketball parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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