Siena vs Merrimack Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MAAC Championship Game

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst 27+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 10, 2026 , 09:06 AM ET • 4 min read

These defenses are good, but at a total this low, the Over is the play.

NCAAB

Match starts: 10 hrs
SIE
37 %
MW
63 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o127.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Tye Dorset (4) shoots over Florida Gators guard Urban Klavzar
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Tye Dorset (4) shoots over Florida Gators guard Urban Klavzar

The Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference (MAAC) will award its lone berth to the NCAA Tournament tonight when the Siena Saints take on the Merrimack Warriors.

Outstanding defense by both schools at the MAAC Tournament has brought this total way down, so my Siena vs Merrimack predictions and college basketball picks target the Over on March 10.

Siena vs Merrimack prediction

Siena vs Merrimack best bet

Siena vs Merrimack best bet: Over 127.5 (-110)

The top-seeded Merrimack Warriors have been stingy this week at the Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City, limiting Sacred Heart to 48 points and Marist to 57.

Siena also suffocated Mount St. Mary’s to just 58 points and Fairfield to just 61.

That’s forced sportsbooks to drop the total to 127.5 points, a number these teams cruised by in their last meeting, even before going to OT.

Both teams have scored well at the tourney, with Siena averaging 69.5 points and Merrimack at 64. I think this plays just above rock fight status.

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Siena vs Merrimack same-game parlay

The Warriors have won both meetings this season, but winning a third won't be easy.

Merrimack needed a Tye Dorset go-ahead 3-ball to put Marist away in a game that could have easily sent them packing.

Siena hasn’t been pushed too hard in Atlantic City and is executing at a better offensive clip. It's also 4-1-0 against the spread in its last five.

Siena vs Merrimack SGP

  • Over 127.5
  • Siena +3.5

Siena vs Merrimack odds

  • Spread: Siena +3.5 (-115) | Merrimack -3.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Siena +135 | Merrimack -160
  • Over/Under: Over 127 | Under 127

Siena vs Merrimack betting trend to know

Eleven of the Saints’ last 12 games have produced a total of 130+ points. Find more college basketball betting trends for Siena vs. Merrimack.

How to watch Siena vs Merrimack

Location Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, NJ
Date Tuesday, March 10, 2026
Tip-off 9:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN2

Siena vs Merrimack key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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