Richmond vs Davidson Atlantic 10 Final Picks and Predictions: Can Spiders Crawl Into Big Dance?

This year's Atlantic 10 title game sees the Richmond Spiders taking on the Davidson Wildcats as small 4.5-point underdogs. We break down the championship matchup and let you know where the college basketball betting value lies.

Last Updated: Mar 13, 2022 10:18 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Tyler Burton Richmond Spiders A-10 Tournament
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Richmond Spiders had high expectations coming into this season. With so many seniors, Richmond was expected to do big things, however, finished the A-10 with a 10-8 conference record. 

However, after three straight wins in the A-10 Tournament, the Richmond Spiders will take on the Davidson Wildcats for a chance at the NCAA Tournament. Davidson went 15-3 in conference play and has made light work of their two opponents in the tournament so far. 

Here are our college basketball picks and predictions for the Atlantic 10 Finals matchup between Richmond and Davidson.

Richmond vs Davidson odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Davidson Wildcats opened as a -3 favorite and are now sitting at as high as -4.5 at a couple of outlets. Meanwhile, the total is all over the place since opening at 137 with bookmakers sitting on 136.5 and others at 137.5. Shop around!

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

Richmond vs Davidson predictions

Predictions made on 3/13/2022 at 9:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Richmond vs Davidson game info

Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
Date: Sunday, March 13, 2022
Tip-off: 1:00 p.m. ET

Richmond vs Davidson betting preview


Richmond: No injuries to report.
Davidson: No injuries to report.

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Spiders are 5-1 against the spread in its last six neutral site games as an underdog. Find more NCAA betting trends for Richmond vs. Davidson.

Richmond vs Davidson picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Spread analysis

Richmond’s run in the A-10 just proves how valuable seniors are to a program. Richmond had high expectations coming into this season and is now finally showing just how good it can be. 

The Spiders are shooting 33.8% from deep and 52.3% from inside the arc while limiting turnovers to 14.4%.

Davidson is holding teams to 33.9% from three and 48.4% from inside the arc. Plus, the Wildcats are keeping teams off the line at an above-average rate.

On the offensive end, however, Davidson is one of the best teams in the nation. The Wildcats are shooting 38.6% from deep and 54.5% from inside the arc.

Even at the foul line, Davidson is hitting over 75%. However, just like Richmond, Davidson isn’t really worried about crashing the glass on the offensive end, earning just 24.1% offensive rebounds. 

Richmond, analytically, is the better defense. The Spiders limit fouling better than Davidson and earn 19.3% turnovers.

For both teams, turnovers will be hard to come by, but Davidson might cough up a couple more than Richmond, which could make a huge difference in what should be a tight game.

Richmond might get punched early, but the Spiders will punch back and make this a game today. Give me Richmond +4.5.

Prediction: Richmond +4.5 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

Again, Davidson has one of the most efficient offenses in the nation. Richmond might slow the Wildcats down slightly, but ultimately, Davidson will score plenty. 

Therefore, if Richmond wants to win this game, the Spiders are going to have to score bucket-for-bucket against Davidson.

Richmond will need a great shooting night to keep pace, but the Spiders have always found a way as we've seen in the A-10 tournament and are averaging north of 72 points per game on the season.

If the Spiders win or cover, the total is going to go Over. 

Prediction: Over 137 (-110)

Best bet

Richmond took on Davidson once in the regular season and lost to the Wildcats, 87-84, at home. The offense was elite but the defense didn’t get many stops. 

This is what I’m expecting today. The defense won’t be unbelievable on both sides but for Richmond, it’ll be good enough to stick around in this game.

The emphasis will have to be on 3-point shooting. If Richmond can get stops around the perimeter and rebound off those misses, the Spiders will be in great shape to win an automatic bid into the NCAA Tournament. 

And when the Spiders make it to the Big Dance, the 20+ win team won’t be an easy out.

Pick: Richmond +4.5 (-110)

College basketball parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Richmond vs. Davidson picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college basketball parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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