Montana vs Idaho Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's Big Sky Tournament Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 11, 2026 , 02:55 PM ET • 4 min read

Scimia's prediction: Money Williams leads Montana to a victory over Idaho in the Big Sky Championship.

NCAAB

Match starts: 7 hrs
IDHO
42 %
MONT
58 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Montana +115 Montana +115
Read Analysis
Money Williams Montana Grizzlies NCAA college basketball
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Montana Grizzlies guard Money Williams (0) dribbles against Louisville Cardinals guard Adrian Wooley (14)

The Montana Grizzlies will look to win a second consecutive conference title as they face off against the Idaho Vandals in the Big Sky Championship tonight.

The Grizzlies have dominated the Vandals in recent years, and I’m taking them to win again in my Idaho vs. Montana predictions.

Keep reading to see the full breakdown of tonight’s game in my free college basketball picks for Wednesday, March 11.

Montana vs Idaho prediction

Montana vs Idaho best bet

Montana vs Idaho best bet: Montana moneyline (+120)

While the Idaho Vandals rate slightly better than the Montana Grizzlies on some analytical metrics, it’s hardly enough to separate these teams.

Instead, I’m more interested in the fact that Montana has now won nine straight games in this series, including both games between these teams this season.

Montana won both regular-season matchups in regulation, winning by six in Idaho and by five at home.

Money Williams (20.6 points per game) has been the leading scorer in the Big Sky this year and will make the difference in taking his team to the big dance. I’m taking the Grizzlies to win outright.

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Montana vs Idaho same-game parlay

Speaking of trends, these teams have combined to hit the Under in six straight meetings, including both contests this year. I’ll add an Under bet to my SGP and also take Williams to hit his scoring total after averaging 36.0 points per game so far in the Big Sky tournament.

Montana vs Idaho SGP

  • Montana moneyline
  • Under 145
  • Money Williams Over 23.5 points

Our beyond the arc SGP: Montana's Money

For my lottery parlay, I’m sticking with Montana to win behind a big game from Williams. I’ll also take Tyler Thompson to grab Over 3.5 rebounds — a target he’s hit in three of his last four games — and Brooklyn Hicks to hit at least two shots from 3-point range after going 4-for-4 from deep in the semifinal round.

Montana vs Idaho SGP

  • Montana moneyline
  • Money Williams Over 23.5 points
  • Tyler Thompson Over 3.5 rebounds
  • Brooklyn Hicks Over 1.5 made threes

Montana vs Idaho odds

  • Spread: Montana +2.5 (-110)| Idaho -2.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Montana +120 | Idaho -140
  • Over/Under: Over 145 (-110) | Under 145 (-110)

Montana vs Idaho betting trend to know

Montana is 9-0 straight up in its last nine games against Idaho. Find more college basketball betting trends for Montana vs. Idaho.

How to watch Montana vs Idaho

Location Idaho Central Arena, Boise, ID
Date Wednesday, March 11, 2026
Tip-off 11:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN2

Montana vs Idaho key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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