The No. 1 ranked Michigan Wolverines head to West Lafayette on Tuesday to face the No. 7 Purdue Boilermakers.
These are two of the highest-rated offenses in the country which is why my Michigan vs. Purdue predictions are betting on a shootout.
Here are my best free college basketball picks for this Big Ten battle on February 17.
Michigan vs Purdue prediction
Michigan vs Purdue best bet: Over 156.5 (-110)
The Purdue Boilermakers are second in the country in adjusted offense and are fresh off a 78-57 win against an extremely slow, defensively stingy Iowa squad. They have the ball movement and perimeter shooting to find openings in an elite Michigan Wolverines defense.
That said, Purdue's interior defense is awful and will get torched by Michigan who rank fourth in adjusted offense. The Boilermakers are 13th in conference play in opponent 2PT% (55%) while the Wolverines are second in the country in 2PT% (63%).
With Michigan also speeding this game up with a blistering pace the Over is the play.
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Michigan vs Purdue same-game parlay
Both teams have elite offenses but the Wolverines are significantly better defensively, ranking first in the country in adjusted defense and second in opponent eFG% (43.2%). They'll get the defensive stops they need to pick up a big win on the road.
Michigan's speedy tempo should to more rebounding opportunities for Oscar Cluff who averages 7.4 rpg despite inconsistent minutes in recent weeks. Purdue will need the 6-foot-11, 255-pound center on the floor to battle Michigan's trio of bigs in Yaxel Lendeborg, Morez Johnson, and Aday Mara.
Michigan vs Purdue SGP
- Over 156.5
- Michigan moneyline
- Oscar Cluff Over 6.5 rebounds
Our beyond the arc SGP: Lendeborg takes the lead
Lendeborg (14.4 ppg) averaged 25.9 mpg in non-conference play but that's ramped up to 30.5 mpg against Big Ten foes. He often rests in the second half of blowout wins but should log a heavy workload in what's expected to be a competitive game tonight.
Michigan vs Purdue SGP
- Over 156.5
- Michigan moneyline
- Oscar Cluff Over 6.5 rebounds
- Yaxel Lendeborg Over 14.5 points
Michigan vs Purdue odds
- Spread: Michigan -2.5 | Purdue +2.5
- Moneyline: Michigan -155 | Purdue +130
- Over/Under: Over 156.5 | Under 156.5
Michigan vs Purdue betting trend to know
The Boilermakers have hit the first half Over in six of their last seven games at home (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Michigan vs. Purdue.
How to watch Michigan vs Purdue
| Location | Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN |
| Date | Tuesday, February 17, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 6:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
Michigan vs Purdue key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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