The Cincinnati Bearcats will take on the Arkansas Razorbacks in the Hall of Fame Classic in the T-Mobile Arena located in Kansas City, Missouri.
Both teams are undefeated with some stunning wins on their resume. The Bearcats just took down the Illinois Fighting Illini 71-51 in the semifinals of the Hall of Fame Classic even with Illinois big man Kofi Cockburn back on the floor.
Meanwhile, Arkansas took down Kansas State 72-64 despite playing a semi-away game in Missouri. The Razorbacks don’t have any top-tier wins yet but that could change tonight.
Here are our best college basketball picks and predictions for the finals of the Hall of Fame Classic between the Cincinnati Bearcats and the Arkansas Razorbacks.
Cincinnati vs Arkansas odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Arkansas opened as a 5.5-point favorite and hasn't moved. Meanwhile, the total is starting to adjust after opening at 142.5 with some outlets running with a 141.5 number. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.
Cincinnati vs Arkansas predictions
Predictions made on 11/23/2021 at 8:21 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Cincinnati vs Arkansas game info
• Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO
• Date: Tuesday, November 23, 2021
• Tip-off: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN 2
Cincinnati at Arkansas betting preview
Injuries
Cincinnati: A.J. McGinnis G (Out).
Arkansas: None reported.
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Razorbacks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. Find more NCAA betting trends for Cincinnati vs. Arkansas.
Cincinnati vs Arkansas picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Spread analysis
Cincinnati looked sensational in yesterday’s meeting against Illinois holding the Fighting Illini to just 28.1 percent from the field while giving up just three 3-pointers on 22 attempts.
Not only did Cincinnati defend well, but it also grabbed more rebounds against a very good Illinois team on the glass. It was impressive stuff, but how much Bearcats stock should we buy off that one win?
Cincinnati has been good enough inside the arc, shooting 51.5 percent, but is still only shooting 31.5 percent from long range. The Bearcats only have three players in double figures and while there’s plenty of depth on the bench, the offense doesn’t have many reliable offensive options outside of Jeremiah Davenport, who scored 19 points against Illinois last night.
On the defensive end, Cincinnati has held opponents to a 37.6 percent effective field goal percentage. Teams are shooting 25.3 percent from 3-point range and 37.5 percent from inside. We all - myself included - expected Illinois to elevate those numbers, but that wasn’t the case on Monday.
However, Arkansas features a terrific offense that has a chance to excel. The Razorbacks are shooting a 52 percent effective field goal percentage while turning the ball over just 14.3 percent of the time. As long as Arkansas limits turnovers and gets shots up, they’ll be in good shape.
Defensively, Arkansas has struggled a bit defending the three, allowing teams to shoot 38 percent beyond the arc. However, the Bearcats are shooting the 3-ball at an average rate and likely won’t take advantage of Arkansas and its relatively poor perimeter defense.
Prediction: Arkansas -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
The lines are starting to move towards the under, and I agree after the Bearcats held the Fighting Illini to just 51 points in an absolute stunner on Monday night.
Plus, if the Bearcats don’t take advantage of the Razorbacks’ paltry 3-point defense, it’ll be harder for Cincy to score.
With the way both defenses have started off the season, there’s only one way to go here.
Prediction: Under 142.5 (-110)
Best bet
Again, Cincinnati has held opponents to a 37.6 percent effective field goal percentage along with 25.3 percent from long range and 37.5 percent from inside the arc. The Bearcats are invested on the defensive end and that has propelled them to an undefeated season so far. There will be games where shots just don’t fall, but there will never be games where effort isn’t shown on the defensive end.
Meanwhile, Arkansas has struggled to defend the three, but the Bearcats aren’t all that great shooting the three in the first place, hitting the long-range jumper just 31.5 percent of the time. If Cincinnati isn’t going to shoot a high volume of threes, I like this game to go Under the total.
Pick: Under 142.5 (-110)
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