Baylor vs Minnesota Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Tonight's CBC Tournament Game

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 1, 2026 , 06:56 PM ET • 4 min read

Ponnaiya's prediction: With both Baylor and Minnesota boasting efficient offenses and poor defenses, expect plenty of points when they clash in Vegas tonight.

NCAAB

Apr 01 • 10:30 PM ET
BAY
0 %
MINN
0 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o147.0 (-110)
See Today's Picks
Baylor Bears guard Cameron Carr college basketball
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Baylor Bears guard Cameron Carr drives to the basket.

The Baylor Bears and the Minnesota Golden Gophers face off in the first round of the College Basketball Crown tonight.

My Baylor vs. Minnesota predictions and college basketball picks are betting on both offenses to catch fire on Wednesday, April 1.

Baylor vs Minnesota prediction

Who will win Baylor vs Minnesota?

Baylor: Both teams are awful on defense, but the Baylor Bears have the higher-rated offense and are significantly better on the glass.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers also have depth issues, with top forward Jaylen Crocker-Johnson and key backups Chansey Willis and Robert Vaihola out with injuries.

Baylor vs Minnesota best bet: Over 146.5 (-110)

Since the start of February, Minnesota ranks 19th in the country in eFG% (57.4%), but just 321st in opponent eFG% (56.1%).

Over the same period, Baylor is in the top 30 in 2PT% (57.6%) and offensive rebounding rate, yet sits 49th in opponent eFG% (57.8%).

Minnesota attempts a lot of threes, and the Bears struggle to defend the perimeter. Meanwhile, Baylor's ability to attack inside the arc will exploit the Gophers poor interior defense.

Although there are some concerns that Minnesota's sluggish tempo will lead to fewer possessions, teams played fast and loose in this tourney last year.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Over the last two months, Baylor ranks 14th in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency per Bart Torvik.

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Baylor vs Minnesota same-game parlay

Bayor's superior depth, athleticism, and rebounding should lead to a win tonight.

Since we're also betting on plenty of scoring, let's also take the Over 18.5 points for Cameron Carr.

Carr leads the Bears with 19.2 ppg and has dropped more than 20 points in four of his last five games.

Baylor vs Minnesota SGP

  • Over 146.5
  • Baylor ML
  • Cameron Carr Over 18.5 points

Our beyond the arc SGP: Choose the Bear

Let's ramp this SGP up to +750 by laying the points with Baylor and adding the Over 14.5 points for Tounde Yessoufou.

The five-star freshman averages 17.8 ppg and is a physical specimen who will be a matchup nightmare.

Baylor vs Minnesota SGP

  • Over 146.5
  • Baylor -4
  • Cameron Carr Over 18.5 points
  • Tounde Yessoufou Over 14.5 points

Baylor vs Minnesota odds

  • Spread: Baylor -4 (-110) | Minnesota +4 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Baylor -185 | Minnesota +155
  • Over/Under: Over 148.5 (-110) | Under 148.5 (-110)

Baylor vs Minnesota betting trend to know

The Over is 4-1 in Baylor’s last five games and has hit in three of Minnesota’s previous four contests. Find more college basketball betting trends for Baylor vs. Minnesota.

How to watch Baylor vs Minnesota

Location MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Date Wednesday, April 1, 2026
Tip-off 10:30 p.m. ET
TV FS1

Baylor vs Minnesota key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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