Wizards vs Kings Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Kings are bad, but the Wizards are worse. Much... much worse.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Jan 16, 2026 • 14:10 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 6 hrs
SAC
57 %
WAS
43 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Sacramento -7.0 (-110) Sacramento -7.0 (-110)
Read Analysis
Sacramento Kings guard Russell Westbrook (18) and guard Malik Monk (0) react after Monk scores a three point basket during the fourth quarter at Golden 1 Center.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Sacramento Kings guard Russell Westbrook (18) and guard Malik Monk (0) react after Monk scores a three point basket during the fourth quarter at Golden 1 Center.

The Washington Wizards traded for Trae Young with the long term in view, and his impact is already being felt before he takes the court. “Felt” as in, Washington is quickly improving its lottery odds because of what it gave up in that trade. 

My Wizards vs. Kings predictions recognize how bad everything is in Washington.

Find out more in my NBA picks for January 16.

Wizards vs Kings prediction

Wizards vs Kings best bet: Kings -7 (-110)

The Washington Wizards are 0-4 against the spread in their last four games and 1-5 in their last six, falling short of bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 8.25 points per game since trading for Trae Young

Well, the more precise thought there would be since trading away CJ McCollum. The veteran shooting guard had scored double digits in every game since November 7, with his reliability and leadership more needed than known.

That may sound abstract or intangible, but Washington has a young roster to start with, one lacking thorough talent. Pouring 24 or more minutes into Malaki Branham for two of those games as a McCollum replacement is not a recipe for success.

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Wizards vs Kings same-game parlay

DeMar DeRozan averaged 17.4 points in 11 games alongside Domantas Sabonis this season, a distinct drop from the 19.8 he has averaged in 30 games without Sabonis.

As the Sacramento Kings’ cornerstone returns to the lineup, he'll overlap with DeRozan’s midrange game, though Sabonis may himself be rusty.

Wizards vs Kings SGP

  • Kings -7
  • DeMar DeRozan Under 20.5 points
  • Domantas Sabonis Under 13.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Under thunder

Sacramento has cashed seven Unders in its last 11 games, a stretch that very much overlaps with Washington cashing eight Unders in its last 10 games.

Wizards vs Kings SGP

  • Kings -7
  • DeMar DeRozan Under 20.5 Points
  • Domantas Sabonis Under 13.5 Points
  • Under 233.5

Wizards vs Kings odds

  • Spread: Wizards +7 | Kings -7
  • Moneyline: Wizards +220 | Kings -270
  • Over/Under: Over 233.5 | Under 233.5

Wizards vs Kings betting trend to know

The Kings are 3-0 against the spread in their last three, exceeding bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 23.8 points in three outright upset wins. Find more NBA betting trends for Wizards vs. Kings.

How to watch Wizards vs Kings

Location Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Date Friday, January 16, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV MNMT, NBC Sports California

Wizards vs Kings latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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