The Golden State Warriors will get their MVP back for a six-game road trip, starting tonight against the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Stephen Curry has missed the last three games with an illness, and Golden State lost two of them.
Despite Steph's presence, my Warriors vs. Thunder predictions and free NBA picks expect OKC to pull away on Tuesday, November 11.
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Warriors vs Thunder prediction
Warriors vs Thunder best bet: Thunder -7.5 (-110)
The Golden State Warriors crushed the hapless 1-9 Pacers by 31, their largest margin without Stephen Curry in the lineup since the two-time MVP joined the league.
Before his illness, Curry was waking the echoes of his heyday. Despite playing just 31.1 minutes a night, down more than a minute from last year, Curry was averaging 26.8 points, 2.3 more than last year and his highest scoring average since 2022-23. He also leads the league in threes taken, although his .389 percentage is his lowest in four seasons.
While Golden State gets Curry back, the injury news isn’t as optimistic for the team’s 39-year-old forward, Al Horford. The veteran is day-to-day with a toe injury and will miss one game out of the Tuesday-Wednesday back-to-back. It’s just not clear yet which one.
Golden State has been a different team on the road, losing five of six and failing to cover in the losses.
Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder look like the best team in the league again, as a two-point loss at Portland is the only blemish on their record.
The Thunder will be without Luguentz Dort (7.1 points, 5.0 rebounds) and Aaron Wiggins (14.8 points, 3.7 rebounds), but they’ll still have defending MVP and scoring champion Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, as well as big man Chet Holmgren.
It’s the biggest matchup of the day, and, with everybody watching, it’s a given that Curry will bring his A game. So will SGA, and the Thunder have just too many weapons. Look for OKC to cover.
Warriors vs Thunder same-game parlay
Both teams play at a pace in the lower half of the league rankings, so they know what works best. Look for each squad to slow things down and control the tempo.
Curry may have some rust, but the Over/Under cutoff for points is more than three points below his average. He’ll get his shots against the Thunder, and it’s hard to envision him not lighting things up.
Warriors vs Thunder SGP
- Thunder -7.7
- Under 228
- Stephen Curry Over 23.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Keep it Rollin'
With Aaron Wiggins and reserve wing Jaylin Williams out, Isaiah Joe has seen his minutes increase over the past few games. He’s been up to the challenge. After sitting out the first five games of the season, he’s played an average of 23.5 over the last six, including five double-digit point games and two 20-plus scoring nights.
Wiggins and Williams are out again, so look for Joe to have another opportunity to perform.
Warriors vs Thunder SGP
- Thunder -7.7
- Under 228
- Stephen Curry Over 23.5 points
- Isaiah Joe Over 11.5 points
Warriors vs Thunder odds
- Spread: Warriors +7.5 (-110) | Thunder -7.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Warriors +235 | Thunder -290
- Over/Under: Over 228 (-110) | Under 228 (-110)
Warriors vs Thunder betting trend to know
The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 59 of their last 97 games (+21.60 Units / 20% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Thunder.
How to watch Warriors vs Thunder
| Location | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
| Date | Tuesday, November 11, 2025 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCS-Bay Area, FDSN-Oklahoma |
Warriors vs Thunder latest injuries
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