The San Antonio Spurs host the Golden State Warriors in NBA action on Wednesday night.
San Antonio is tied for second in the Western Conference with an 8-2 record and my Warriors vs. Spurs predictions are backing the home team to win and cover tonight.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this clash on November 12.
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Warriors vs Spurs prediction
Warriors vs Spurs best bet: Spurs -3.5 (-110)
The Golden State Warriors are fresh off an ugly 126-102 loss in Oklahoma City last night. They have now lost six-straight road games while the San Antonio Spurs are 5-0 straight up and 4-1 against the spread at home this season.
The Spurs are led by third-year superstar Victor Wembanyama who is averaging 25.7 points, 12.8 rebounds, 3.4 assists, and 3.9 blocks per game. The 7-foot-4 center is a cheat code who is already the league's best defensive player and can't be guarded one-on-one.
The Spurs are missing standout rookie Dylan Harper but that's been offset by the return of De'Aaron Fox who made his season debut on Saturday. With Fox and Stephon Castle in the backcourt and Wemby anchoring the frontcourt the Spurs look like contenders.
The Warriors are 21st in the NBA in offensive efficiency (112.9) with that number dropping to 108.2 on the road. They'll find it tough to get buckets against the Spurs who are fifth in defensive rating and allow just 108.0 ppg at home.
With this old Warriors team on a back-to-back and struggling on the road, fade them against a well-rested and hungry Spurs squad.
Warriors vs Spurs same-game parlay
The Warriors attack the rim at one of the lowest rates in the league while attempting threes at the second-highest rate. That will result in fewer shot-blocking opportunities for Wembanyama inside.
One of those high-volume three-point shooters is Moses Moody who is second on the Dubs in treys per game (2.6) and three-point percentage (43.3%).
He'll have the green light to shoot from long range against a Spurs squad that is dead-last in the league in opponent three-point percentage (39.7%).
Warriors vs Spurs SGP
- Spurs -3.5
- Victor Wembanyama Under 3.5 blocks
- Moses Moody Over 1.5 threes
Our "from downtown" SGP: Castle steals the kingdom
Castle has racked up 2+ steals in six of his last seven games and his length will create problems for Golden State's ball-handlers.
Warriors vs Spurs SGP
- Spurs -3.5
- Victor Wembanyama Under 3.5 blocks
- Moses Moody Over 1.5 threes
- Stephon Castle Over 1.5 steals
Warriors vs Spurs odds
- Spread: Golden State +4.5 | San Antonio -4.5
- Moneyline: Golden State +150 | San Antonio -180
- Over/Under: Over 231.5 | Under 231.5
Warriors vs Spurs betting trend to know
The Spurs have eclipsed their team total in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.25 Units / 28% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Spurs.
How to watch Warriors vs Spurs
| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Wednesday, November 12, 2025 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC Sports Bay Area, FDSN Southwest |
Warriors vs Spurs latest injuries
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