Trail Blazers vs Suns Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NBA Play-In Tournament Game

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst 18+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 14, 2026 , 07:01 PM ET • 4 min read

Dillon Brooks’s irrational confidence could end up playing right into Phoenix’s hands.

NBA

Match starts: 1 hrs
POR
41 %
PHO
59 %
Read Analysis
Dillon Brooks Phoenix Suns NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Phoenix Suns forward Dillon Brooks (3) moves the ball.

Adam Silver has gotten two things undeniably right during his tenure as commissioner — calling out Donald Sterling for his racism and introducing the Play-In Tournament.

This week’s six-game slate has been pure entertainment, even if fans of the Portland Trail Blazers and Phoenix Suns might describe tonight as nothing short of agony.

My Trail Blazers vs. Suns predictions and NBA picks bet on one of the NBA’s most irrationally confident players on April 14.

  • UPDATE: Added prediction for who will win.

Trail Blazers vs Suns prediction

Who will win Trail Blazers vs Suns?

Suns: Personally, I expect Phoenix to win this game by multiple buckets, but suppose it comes down to the final minute. Who are you going to side with, the team leaning on Scoot Henderson initiating an offense to feature either Jrue Holiday or Deni Adija for a needed bucket or the team with Devin Booker?

Trail Blazers vs Suns best bet: Dillon Brooks Over 19.5 points (+102)

Kevin Durant was right. His worst year is better than Dillon Brooks’s best year, but that does not mean the Phoenix Suns’ biggest acquisition for trading away Durant is going to shy away from this moment. Frankly, Dillon Brooks’s delusional confidence is his most redeeming trait, though also and obviously his most infuriating one.

The Portland Trail Blazers should devote Jrue Holiday to slowing Devin Booker as much as possible. That will move the ball into Brooks’s hands more often.

Phoenix needs either Brooks or Jalen Green to complement Booker to pull off this upset and avoid the Oklahoma City Thunder. Portland is more likely to let Brooks get an advantage than Green.

That is to effectively say, betting on Phoenix’s third option is both the best bet and the Suns’ best approach to winning this game.

In a few respects, the greatest concern with Brooks may be foul trouble. And if Phoenix advances, Brooks’s worst habit will undoubtedly rear its ugly head, but that usually comes once well into a series, as tensions run highest. A one-game format lessens that concern.

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Trail Blazers vs Suns same-game parlay

Devin Booker is too pure a scorer not to pour in some buckets in a game of this import, hence Portland presumably needing to devote Jrue Holiday to the Suns’ franchise cornerstone. And that is part of why Brooks should score, though partly at Green’s expense. In a very real way, every leg of this one-sided same-game parlay is correlated.

Trail Blazers vs Suns SGP

  • Dillon Brooks Over 19.5 points
  • Jalen Green Under 18.5 points
  • Devin Booker Over 26.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Suns don't set

To put this simply, if the Suns’ point distribution breaks down like this, then Phoenix is in a great position to win this Play-In game with ease. Adding the -4 to this same-game parlay should not raise it 73%.

This is what makes the Suns just dangerous enough. They may be devoid of stars aside from Booker, a year after having too many stars to function, but Phoenix still has an array of backcourt scoring to worry just about anybody in the NBA, particularly for one game.

Trail Blazers vs Suns SGP

  • Dillon Brooks Over 19.5 points
  • Jalen Green Under 18.5 points
  • Devin Booker Over 26.5 points
  • Suns -4

Trail Blazers vs Suns odds

  • Spread: Trail Blazers +4 | Suns -4
  • Moneyline: Trail Blazers +145 | Suns -170
  • Over/Under: Over 218 | Under 218

Trail Blazers vs Suns betting trend to know

Phoenix went 23-17-1 against the spread at home this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Trail Blazers vs. Suns.

How to watch Trail Blazers vs Suns

Location Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date Tuesday, April 14, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV Prime Video

Trail Blazers vs Suns latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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