The Minnesota Timberwolves upset the San Antonio Spurs in Game 1 thanks to an offensive outburst in the fourth quarter.
My Timberwolves vs. Spurs predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, May 6 expect Minnesota to lean into that fourth-quarter recipe once again, which means parking Rudy Gobert on the bench.
Don't miss tip-off at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
- UPDATE: Added a pick for who will win for tonight.
Timberwolves vs Spurs Game 2 prediction
Who will win Timberwolves vs Spurs Game 2?
Spurs: Factoring desperation into a betting line is a bit beyond usual algorithms, but it should absolutely be a nod in San Antonio’s direction in Game 2. Losing both home games to start this series would rightfully frighten everyone in the Spurs organization.
Timberwolves vs Spurs best bet: Rudy Gobert Under 11.5 rebounds (-130)
The Minnesota Timberwolves entered the fourth quarter Monday night trailing the San Antonio Spurs by three. Rudy Gobert went to the bench for the next 10:16; when he returned, the Timberwolves led by seven.
Minnesota had scored 32 points in those 10 minutes, already eight more than it had in any previous quarter. A five-out lineup featuring Julius Randle and Naz Reid as the Timberwolves’ big men pulled Victor Wembanyama too far from the hoop to bolster his inflated blocks stats, and suddenly, Minnesota could score.
Expect more of that look in Game 2, costing Gobert minutes as the game wears on.
COVERS INTEL: The Spurs outscored the Timberwolves 45-40 in the 21:32 that both Gobert and Wembanyama were on the court in Game 1.
Timberwolves vs Spurs Game 2 same-game parlay
Fewer Rudy Gobert minutes should help both Minnesota’s and San Antonio’s offenses. In the 21:32 that Gobert faced Wembanyama, the Spurs’ offensive rating was 104.7 while the Timberwolves’ was 93. For the entirety of the game, San Antonio’s offensive rating was 106.3 while Minnesota’s was 108.3.
The math does not need to delve further than that. Gobert serves a purpose in this series, but his minutes need to be limited compared to Wembanyama’s, and that should propel both offenses.
Timberwolves vs Spurs SGP
- Rudy Gobert Under 11.5 rebounds
- Rudy Gobert Under 8.5 points
- Over 215.5
Our "from downtown" SGP: Wemby's shifted focus
First of all, at least four of Wembanyama’s Game 1 blocks should have been called either goaltends or fouls. That is of note because Minnesota is absolutely going to bring that to the attention of the NBA between Games 1 and 2.
Second of all, fewer Rudy Gobert minutes will pull Wembanyama further from the hoop, and that alone should lessen his rebounding total.
Lastly, Wembanyama spent some of Monday’s postgame press conference lamenting how much energy he spent on defense, taking away from his offense. He may overcorrect in that regard, obviously only furthering Over thoughts.
Timberwolves vs Spurs SGP
- Victor Wembanyama Under 4.5 blocks
- Victor Wembanyama Under 12.5 rebounds
- Victor Wembanyama Over 26.5 points
- Over 215.5
Timberwolves vs Spurs odds for Game 2
- Spread: Timberwolves +10 (-110) | Spurs -10 (-110)
- Moneyline: Timberwolves +350 | Spurs -450
- Over/Under: Over 213 (-110) | Under 213 (-110)
Timberwolves vs Spurs betting trend to know
After Timberwolves head coach Chris Finch said his team “lied” to him all season, evidenced by their Game 1 loss at Denver, Minnesota has gone 5-1 against the spread, exceeding bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 14.5 points, even when including the ATS loss. For what it’s worth, that ATS loss came by just the hook. Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Spurs.
How to watch Timberwolves vs Spurs Game 2
| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Wednesday, May 6, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Timberwolves vs Spurs latest injuries
Ayo Dosunmu is expected to suit up tonight, per reports, after missing Game 1.
Not intended for use in MA.
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